“For Whom the Bell Tolls- It Tolls For Thee“- the immortal words of Earnest Hemmingway, referencing a death knell. The bell ringing means someone has died.
I bring up this reference because I believe it references the recent financing our old pals at HDY have entered into. The company filed an 8K last Friday after the market closed, clearly hoping no one would catch it. Of note- there was no press release.
The bozos at HDY have entered into a $6 million debt deal with the devil- Cornell Capital. You want to be an investor in the Cornell Capital, but you don’t want to be an investor in the stocks they finance. They make huge returns for their investors- guess who pays.
HDY is borrowing $6 million from Cornell- $2 million now, $2 million when the file a registration statement, and $2 million when the registration statement goes effective.
Cornell has a conversion price of $2. Believe me, once the registration statement goes effective, this stock has no upside above $2. Anyone who wants to buy will be matched with a sell.
As long as HDY makes the payments, the conversion price remains at $2. Where are they going to get the money to make the payments? They don’t generate any revenues. Hence, unless something changes dramatically at the company, HDY will have a hard time making the payments unless the money simply comes out of the $6 million they borrowed. How does that make any sense?
As soon as they can’t make payments- guess what happens- you got it- Death Spiral.
The management at HDY has failed to deliver the Guinea deal after six months of trying to restructure it with the Guinea government. They are in a law suit with the joint financiers of their Lousianna natural gas properties. This house of cards is falling apart.
Had they gotten the Guinea deal done, I believe the stock would have traded well enough to get a standard “Pipe Transaction” done, where the investors took risk. This debt deal is only risky to the financier if the stock stops trading.
Of course, there is always the possibility the Guinea deal could come through, and the market response could be strong enough to overcome the toxic supply of stock and send this issue much higher.
However, as I have observed many times in the past- the longer it takes to make the arrangement, the less likely it will happen. That’s just my opinion. Yours could differ.
At any rate- I sold my remaining 5K shares between $2 and $2.10. I would rather be out wishing I was in, than in wishing I was out. Ideas are plentiful. Capital is scarce.
I don’t blame the guys at HDY. They put their best foot forward, and it wasn’t enough- so far. They are just doing what they have to do to survive. It’s not criminal or fraudulent to fail.
The sad part- someone is going to make a fortune in that concession. At this point, it would appear it is not the shareholders of HDY.
Comments and questions are welcome.