Market Summary
| Dow |
12986.80 |
-5.86 |
(-0.05%) |
| Nasdaq |
2528.85 |
-4.88 |
(-0.19%) |
| Russell 2K |
741.17 |
-2.21 |
(-0.30%) |
| S&P 500 |
1425.35 |
+1.78 |
(+0.13%) |
| S&P 100 |
652.15 |
-0.23 |
(-0.04%) |
| Quotes are delayed 20 minutes. |
Current Targets and Stops
| Symbol |
Picked |
ST |
SSL |
| AAPL |
$93.00 |
$225.00 |
$175.00 |
| CPNE |
$0.50 |
$4.50 |
$1.45 |
| CREE |
$25.00 |
$50.00 |
$23.00 |
| EFSF |
$0.18 |
$0.50 |
$0.16 |
| NIHK |
$0.04 |
$0.13 |
$0.08 |
| PNWIF |
$1.80 |
$6.00 |
$3.00 |
| QID |
$38.67 |
$42.19 |
$35.00 |
| SPKL |
$0.69 |
$2.00 |
$0.90 |
| TCGD |
$0.87 |
$2.00 |
$0.65 |
| TTGL |
$0.84 |
$3.00 |
$1.73 |
ST Denotes Suggested Target.
SSL Denotes Suggested Stop Loss.
 Free Annual Reports
Current Covered Companies
OTC Blog
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May 2008
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May 13, 2008 : OTCJ: eFood Update: Moderate Sales Growth with Buckets of IP
eFood Update: IP Plentiful- Sales "Moderate" After reading today's rather comprehensive update from eFoodSafety, one word popped into my head- Truthful- this is probably a darn good 25,000 foot view of where the company is in the process of commercializing it's IP (Intellectual Property) portfolio...
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May 09, 2008 : OTCJ: When Main Street and Wall Street Diverge
When Main Street and Wall Street Diverge Main Street and Wall Street are clearly out of sync right now. Large cap and big momentum stocks have come back beautifully since the massive Q1 drubbing, but small stocks are still trading in a virtual coma- we're just not seeing the kinds of volumes we need...
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May 06, 2008 : Pickle Opens #38; Texas Expansion Continues
Pickle Opens #38- Texas Expansion Continues Despite the rather boring performance on the chart, Spicy Pickle has now gotten back on the new store opening bandwagon, and is announcing a second new store opening in as many weeks. Today, just after the market closed, SPKL announced its third Austin, Texas...
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May 01, 2008 : The FED Love Fest
The FED Love Fest Wednesday's FED decision was exactly what the market wanted. One and done. The FED lowered the discount rate 1/4 point, and stated it would probably be the last interest rate cut. The market is now expecting the FED to start raising interest rates in December. I know many of you will...
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April 2008
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April 26, 2008 : OTCJ: This is Not Your Father's Recession
This is Not Your Father's Recession The consumer sentiment reading came in at 64 on Friday- that's the lowest rating since 1983- BTW- 1983 was the start of a strong 17 year bull market. The forces hampering our economy at present are far different than the forces we endured in the 70's and early 80's...
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April 25, 2008 : OTCJ: CREE Reviewed- Perfect Pullback
Comments in the BLOG This week's BLOG entries were all about CREE (NASDAQ: CREE). Those who have been following my commentary on CREE should recall I have been suggesting owning this one at about the $26 level. Above $30, in this market environment, I would suggest selling covered calls, which is a...
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April 22, 2008 : Spicy Hits Michigan
Spicy (OTC BB: SPKL) Hits Michigan Fresh off last week's first open forum conference call, Spicy Pickle is out with more substantive news. The stock has begun a rebound phase, but clearly is not ready to simply rocket up the charts. It's not that kind of market environment, so it's hardly surprising...
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April 19, 2008 : Nighthawk: Five Fold Growth This Year? Here's How
Nighthawk (OTC BB: NIHK): Five Fold Growth This Year? Here's How This past Wednesday Nighthawk put out its 10k annual report, and this massive, completely boring document, sets the stage for what could be a breakout year for the company. A wonderful read if you have insomnia. 5% of it is important...
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April 16, 2008 : Pickle Delivers Surge In Same Store Sales
Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL) Delivers Surge In Same Store Sales Marc Geman, CEO of Spicy Pickle, will have something Spicy to discuss on today's conference call, which probably will have ended by the time you read this edition. As the company disclosed just at the close today, the revenues at Spicy Pickle...
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April 16, 2008 : Pickle Conference Call Reminder
The Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL) Call Reminder: Today at 4:15 Eastern; 1:15 Pacific As a reminder I encourage all investors interested in Spicy Pickle to tune in to today's conference call. It will begin 15 minutes after the market closes- that's 4:15 Eastern, 1:15 Pacific. This is the first conference call...
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April 12, 2008 : The Pickle Wants To Hear From You!
Comments in the BLOG RIMM-UGH- right idea, wrong security. Watching that stock fall apart on Friday and hitting $115, as I predicted it would, was painful in that I had been blown out of the short term puts I suggested for a high risk trade at a loss. For those of you who are still in the trade, a couple...
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April 05, 2008 : Micros Showing Sign of Life: Two Looking Very Strong
Comments in the BLOG Lots of Blogging for your entertainment and education on the RIMM trade I am in fairly heavily this week. So far, I'm not doing too well. While I still believe the trade will make money to some extent, my timing on really loading up on those put options was not great. I should have...
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April 01, 2008 : RIMM: To Short, or Not To Short?
Comments in the BLOG As posted in today's BLOG, I closed my SPY trade within an hour of the open at $134.29 for a net gain of $2230 in two trading days. The market then continued to "melt up", and I ended up leaving another $2k on the table- such is life. Today, bad news on financials (UBS), and bad...
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March 2008
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March 29, 2008 : Next Week's Big Trade: RIMM
Comments in the BLOG You will find a newly posted BLOG with a complete update on last week's annual 10K filing of the audited financial statement from Spicy Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL). Definitely worth a read- this stock will be much higher in the next Bull Market in my view. Read my comments, and find out...
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March 24, 2008 : V2K International: New Parner, New Future
V2K International (OTC BB: VTOK) Check Out The V2K Video You can watch today's video before or after reading the presentation. Simply go to the home page at www.otcjournal.com, and you will find it. Alternatively, you can click here to go directly to the proper page. It should simply play on your computer...
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March 22, 2008 : A FireStorm MeltUp? A New Idea For Monday
The Firestorm MeltUp- Could It Be Coming? As I observed in Thursday's edition, we could be coming to the beginning of the end of the Bear Market. I believe there is still a lot of volatility ahead, but we could be close to an extended period of upside bias. Bernanke's recent moves to create liquidity...
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March 20, 2008 : Death of the Bear Equals Death of the Bear? eFoodSafety Mulligan
Comments in the BLOG It was a big week for me, and I hope at least of few of you were paying attention on Monday morning and followed my lead. Sundays are usually devoted to sports around my house- either playing, watching, or both. Financial news takes a back seat. However, I caught the news about...
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March 17, 2008 : Pickle Shareholders Learning To Love Texas
Today, just post close, SPKL announced it has inked a seven store franchise agreement in San Antonio, Texas. In total, Texas is now accounting for 25 current and future Spicy Pickle locations, more than the 23 in home state Colorado. With the Dallas/Ft Worth area still to go, Texas is proving to be fertile...
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March 14, 2008 : Testing the Theory: The VIX Cooperates for a Trade
Testing The Theory: The VIX Cooperates For A Trade The market cooperated today and gave us an opportunity to test the idea I shared in the mid week edition- The idea of using the VIX index to measure extreme levels of fear and complacency, then using those extremes levels to place a bet that the pendulum...
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March 12, 2008 : Use the VIX To Trade Extremes; Bernanke's Latest Move
Bernake's Move: The Beginning of the End of the Bear? Ben Bernake went shopping yesterday and bought a rally. In a move that would out spend even Bill Gates, he pledged $200 billion of the government's money to buy a one day short covering rally- so- was it a wise investment? Because, in reality, he...
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March 06, 2008 : eFoodSafety: The Winds Of Change Are About To Howl
eFoodSafety (OTC BB: EFSF): The Winds Of Change Are About To Howl I cover a number of situations in the OTC Journal, but the one I get most questions, observations, whining, and complaining about is eFoodSafety. It's probably because of the unmet expectations in 2007. Whether the company was too optimistic...
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March 01, 2008 : A Look At The Future
A Look At the Future Flip on the financial channels right now all you will get the biggest smorgasbord of conflicting viewpoints on the stock market and the economy I have ever experienced in the 22 years I have been investing in the markets. I can remember when CNBC was FNN (Financial News Network...
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February 2008
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February 27, 2008 : Pickle's Purchase Brings 20 Fold Top Line Result
Comments in the BLOG I hope at least of few of you followed my weekend trade and took a shot at my suggested option trade on the Time Warner (NYSE: TWX) calls. I bought first thing Monday morning, and closed out yesterday with a one day $1,000 profit on a $6500 investment. That's 15.3% in one day, or...
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February 23, 2008 : Apple Comment; Trade For the Week; Using RSS Feeds
RSS Feeds: A Great Solution In A Filtered World Emailing has become a bit fickle over the last couple of years. Spamming rather crude sales pitches for everything from Viagra to $50 million free money from Nigeria, to identity theft still jams our inboxes. There are filters everywhere to catch offending...
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February 20, 2008 : Spicy Pickle Inks Five New Locations
Comments in the BLOG There was one new BLOG posting for your review this week. Yesterday, about mid way through the trading day, I suggested those who were looking for a rebound in TTGLE on some long awaited positive developments should go ahead and consider trading out of their positions. Crazy stuff...
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February 17, 2008 : Two Bear Market Trades For Right Now
Two Bear Market Trades For Right Now Can you make money on the long side in a Bear Market? Sure, but you have to change your approach. In a Bull Market, you can buy momentum stocks for a trade. Another words, if a stock is going up, you can buy it, as it will often keep going up- sometimes for many...
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February 10, 2008 : I'm Getting CREE'D; Teeth Of A Bear
The Teeth of a Bear Here's a new flash- yes, we are in a Bear Market. This is a market environment characterized by a general decline in stock valuations, lower volumes, and fears of deteriorating economic conditions. How long will it last? Typically, these Bear Market corrections last somewhere in...
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February 07, 2008 : PhotoChannel Networks: Anatomy of a Victory
Comments in the BLOG There were two new BLOG postings for your review this week. First, I covered an 8K filing on Titan (or should I say Titanic) (OTC BB: TTGLE), which had more moderately disturbing news contained within. Secondly, I covered the year end audited financial statements issued by PhotoChannel...
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February 04, 2008 : Pickle Powers Past The 125 Store Mark: Houston Will Have 10
Pickle Powers Past The 125 Store Mark: Houston Will Have 10 If you live in Texas, it is becoming more likely you will be seeing a number of these in your neighborhood at some point in the not too distant future. I'll make today's edition a quick read. SPKL continues to be the one company that doesn't...
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February 02, 2008 : The Titan Mess: Anatomy of a Disaster
The Titan Mess: Anatomy of a Disaster I strongly recommend the continued accumulation of TTGL with an eye on another double. Could take six months to a year, but worth waiting for. Fundamentals suggest a far higher valuation. October 20, 2007 OTC Journal BLOG Titan Global is rapidly becoming an oxymoron...
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January 2008
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January 31, 2008 : Pickle Keeps Rolling: Company Store Expansion Accelerates
Comments in the BLOG There was a pretty ugly downside surprise out of Titan Global (OTC BB: TTGLE for now) this week, and I'm not quite sure what to make of it so far. I can't decide if this distressing turn of events is fully priced into the stock and there's upside, of if management's display of incompetence...
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January 26, 2008 : Bear Proof Income Ideas
Comments in the BLOG There were two new BLOGs posted earlier today. First- some comments on the harsh reality that Southland Health Services aka Bad Toys aka Paladin Holdings is officially dead. In my view, all of our dividend shares in Southland are simply worthless, and will never have any value...
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January 23, 2008 : The Big Giant Woosh
Comments in the BLOG There were two new BLOGs posted earlier today. First, a recap and some comments on Spicy Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL) which has held up rather well in the current market meltdown, and Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL), which has done just the opposite. Comments on both for your review. The...
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January 16, 2008 : Pickle Invades Tinsel Town: Coming Attractions
Coming Attractions Recession? Little doubt the market now believes the US Economy is clearly going into recession. The market is now in the process of pricing equities for a major economic slow down, and stocks are simply getting killed across the board. After reviewing some of the data and commentary...
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January 13, 2008 : Drubbing in '08: Where To From Here? AAPL's Big Week
Comments in the BLOG There were a couple of new BLOGS posted this week. I posted an update on Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL), and the unfortunate total demise and bloodbath in Titan Global (OTC BB: TTGL), for which I have no explanation. I know we are in a tough market, but TTGL is really ridiculously...
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January 08, 2008 : Pickle Invades City of Broad Shoulders: Chicago Gets Five More Stores
Pickle Invades City of Broad Shoulders: Chicago Gets Five More Stores 2007 is a wrap for Spicy Pickle, and the company ended up hitting the 36 opened stores mark at year's end. For those of you who might be disappointed by SPKL for not reaching the 40 store number forecast by management- not to worry...
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January 06, 2008 : The SEC Helps U: New '08 Regs Change the Micro Playing Field
Comments in the BLOG The only new BLOG I posted towards the end of the year had some comments on Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL), and that was it for the vacation week. The first three trading days of 2008 have been very rough on the markets, with Friday being a "cash at any cost" blood bath. The "R...
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January 03, 2008 : TraceGuard Management Moves Towards The Money
Comments in the BLOG The only new BLOG I posted towards the end of the year had some comments on Apple Computer (NASDAQ: AAPL), and that was it for the vacation week. As 2008 progresses, new stories will unfold, and older ones will either make progress or fall by the way side. At the end of the weekend...
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Latest Blog Entries
Fri, May 16, 2008 @ 06:38 am
I’m travelling today and already late for my first meeting, so I can’t give you any real feedback on the NIHK quarterly report.
However, it shouldn’t be that complicated. Revenues are way up, and losses are down. One of the biggest expenses now is dividends on preferred- which is being paid in shares- this could represent [...]
Thu, May 15, 2008 @ 07:59 am
Here’s my short term trading idea- time to go short.
The larger market has been chugging up the charts relentlessly, all fear virtually gone. This is not an environment that lends itself to no risk in the market.
The VIX - the measure of levels of fear in the markets, has all but disappeared. Remember, I wrote [...]
Tue, May 13, 2008 @ 09:50 am
SPKL filed its Q1 10Q yesterday afternoon, and the filing really contained no surprises. The market is responding in kind my delivering another quiet day of trading with the stock still trying to get through the $.90 and stick higher than that level.
The top line number was $625k in revs- up from $221k in the [...]
Recent Newsletter Editions
Tue, May 13, 2008 @ 07:47 am
eFood Update: IP Plentiful- Sales "Moderate" After reading today's rather comprehensive update from eFoodSafety, one word popped into my head- Truthful- this is probably a darn good 25,000 foot view of where the company is in the process of commercializing it's IP (Intellectual Property) portfolio...
Fri, May 9, 2008 @ 03:19 pm
When Main Street and Wall Street Diverge Main Street and Wall Street are clearly out of sync right now. Large cap and big momentum stocks have come back beautifully since the massive Q1 drubbing, but small stocks are still trading in a virtual coma- we're just not seeing the kinds of volumes we need...
Tue, May 6, 2008 @ 01:05 pm
Pickle Opens #38- Texas Expansion Continues Despite the rather boring performance on the chart, Spicy Pickle has now gotten back on the new store opening bandwagon, and is announcing a second new store opening in as many weeks. Today, just after the market closed, SPKL announced its third Austin, Texas...
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