Platina Takes Kentucky- Quarterly Filing Not the Story
August 19, 2008 @ 10:07 pm

Platina had a couple of events worth commenting on today. Sorry for the lateness of this posting, but I am traveling and thus have to get to these updates when I can.
Platina filed its 10Q quarterly financial statement with the SEC today as it announced well #7 in Kentucky has gone into production.
Here’s the biggest challenge for Platina. If you read the company’s press releases and independent appraisals of their reserves, you can argue the stock is absurdly undervalued.
If you read the company’s financial report from the June quarter, you can make the argument the company is a total disaster, and the capital structure is a mess.
The truth, as always, is somewhere in the middle.
Here’s my message to investors on PLTG. I have put this in print, and I’ll continue to reinforce the message- the June quarterly performance numbers are in a sense a moot point. On the plus side, PLTG is carrying its properties as a $6 million asset in “uproven reserves”. The rest of the balance sheet reveals a company with $11 million in assets, very little cash, and a variety of different sorts of debt.
To understand the company, you have to understand the $6 million in uproven assets started to turn into a real revenue stream in July- so far disclosed to be at least in the neighborhood of $1 million for the three month period beginning July 1st.
The real, hard number in revenues for Q3 won’t be seen until mid November- six weeks after the quarter ends. If the top line is not in the neighborhood of at least $1 million, then Houston, we have a problem.
There is some revealing information in the 10Q- PLTG has paid for a lot of stuff of all kinds by issuing stock- this might help explain some of the sloppiness in the chart. according to the 10Q, there are now 150 million shares I&O- up from the number in the filings from their end of March. The new stock issuances might not be free trading, but they are part of the capital structure, and therefore dilutive in nature.
However, it’s all about return on investment. PLTG has been investing in Kentucky for some time, and it’s evident in the growth of their assets vs the number of shares I&O. The big question?- Are the shareholders going to get an ROI- again- 7 producing wells since July 1st is strong, but the market needs to see the hard numbers.
Here’s a messy chart, but has potential:

The stock sold off pretty abruptly in August almost perfectly in concert with the drop in natural gas prices.
Since then, the stock has consolidated in the $.08 to $.10 range and is building a base.
When I first published, I set the SSL (suggested stop loss) at $.10- so if you decided to stay in you should be thinking a bit longer term.
If the stock sells down tomorrow on the 10Q, it would be an opportunity to jump in and accumulate - a low number, in the $.07 to $.08 range might even be good for a trade to the upside.
The news of the 7th well going into production could send the stock the other way. We’ll have to see. At any rate, the sooner they can monetize their investments, the sooner we will be able to quantify what we have here.
If we haven’t seen it already, I suspect we will see the summer low tomorrow, and it will end up being a great opportunity.
For those who want some education on reading these SEC filings- go watch my video entitled, of all things “Understanding the SEC Filings and Financial Statements”.
Comments and questions are welcome.
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Wyoming well was a duster. Increase in Kentucky drill sites.
http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/080904/0430489.html
Editor: I don’t know where you got the information that the Wyoming well was a “duster”. It seems like they really believe in these Kentucky properties. Dilution is the market’s big problem here. I expect it will take further clarity on why they have issued so much stock and what’s coming back before the market will buy into the stock appreciating from these levels.
Comment by Paul Butler — 9/4/2008 @ 1:22 pm
And what did you think of the webinar? Your opion is greatly apreciated.
Editor: I couldn’t attend- I am going to watch the replay and post some thoughts.
Comment by Verland — 8/27/2008 @ 2:42 pm
Post by sdr77u on YAHOO.
field gas flow is not known-Re: Bigger sized compressor 19 minutes ago
Current total Laurel Co field gas flow is not known, but it’s believed to be a fraction of the new compressor capacity…regardless
DD – One piece – obviously forward looking…
Calculated Max Revenue Generation using New2500 Mcf/day compressor at Laurel Co. Field.
$8.46 /Mcf = Forecast September 2008 - NGWPUUS Composite natural gas wellhead price NGWPUUS
From: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/steo_query/app/…
OR
$8.025 Natural Gas Spot Henry Hub Price
From: http://www.columbusgasprices.com/natgas_…
OR
$6 = Platina’s stated internal forecast price for revenue estimation
RESULT
MAX Daily $15,000 - $21,150
MAX Monthly (30 day) $450,000 - $634,500
MAX Annual $5,400,000 - $7,614,000
Potential Revenue only. Figures for Natural gas production & delivery through the single new compressor under maximum flow and ideal conditions. No allowance entered for maintenance or downtime. Assumes Laurel Co Field production fills compressor to max capacity. Does not include ancillary oil production from the field. Current total Laurel Co field gas flow is not known, but it’s believed to be a fraction of the compressor capacity.
All JIMO
All corrections and added appropriate caveats are welcome.
GLTUA
Editor: I appreciate the hard data and the potential ranges. Ultimately- what does this mean to the potential share price in your view? It seems to me that, since the company has very little cash, they wouldn’t be purchasing the bigger compressor unless it was going to be running immediately at higher capacity than the old compressor. Therefore, I suspect the flows would be in the mid range plus. If so- the bigger question- what assumptions can one make about the future stock price? Do you have a point of view on this?
Comment by Paul Butler — 8/22/2008 @ 12:10 pm
Webinar on 8/27/08
http://www.platinagroup.com/index.html
Editor: Quite so- planning on covering in the weekend edition.
Comment by Paul Butler — 8/21/2008 @ 3:04 pm