Musings Of Larry Isen On Today’s Action: 5/12, 1:15 Pacific
May 12, 2008 @ 1:40 pm

Another snore fest in micros today, but a little excitement in the larger cap arena.
The excitement comes from RIMM, and now I have some losses to make up. This morning, RIMM announced the next generation of Blackberry- complete will all kinds of media rich and hi def stuff on the screen along with the new and more robust 3G technology.
I’m down about $13k on my puts, and I don’t think they are going to be worth anything with the stock closing today at $141.50. Over and done with. Ouch.
In light of crude now trading in the $125 range, I believe the market is defying gravity in the short term.
Earnings estimates for the S&P 500 have been headed lower except in the energy compound, and these high energy and food costs have got to act as a dampener for economic growth.
In the large cap world, we have enjoyed a nice rebound in April and May, and I believe a correction is in the works.

Here’s a look at the NASDAQ COMP with a Fibonacci retracement. This a reverse retracement look. The NASDAQ COMP cratered from 2730 down to 2156- December to March.
It has since rebounded to almost 2500. At 2511, it’s a nearly perfect 61.8% rebound of the whole move down.
The chart suggests to me we are nearing the point of upside exhaustion.
Before long, I am going to be suggesting shorting one or two of the indexes, or buying puts if you prefer.
I believe we are overdue for a little correction. When, and if it comes, I would use the opportunity to move into a couple of big cap names that have rebounded dramatically- AAPL for one, which I believe is going to $250, and RIMM for another, which I believe is going to $200.
Lots to cover this week. I expect some sort of update from EFSF. SPKL will have Q1 numbers out, as will NIHK. Look for BLOGS on both those events.
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