China Energy: One Day Wonder, Or Momentum Change?
November 5, 2008 @ 9:31 am

CGYV’s one day massive move on huge volume was a nice surprise, but does it really mark a trend reversal, or was it simply on one day wonder that is likely to have limited follow through?
It’s a little too early to call. There’s arguments both ways. I suspect it was the first day in what might have been a major direction change, but I only say that because the stock is so absurdly undervalued and the company is growing so rapidly. It makes sense. However, making sense is not enough in today’s world as irrational behavior abounds globally.
Since the stock is willing to back down on considerably lighter volume today, it makes sense to look at a chart for appropriate entry levels for those so inclined.

You can see the huge volume bar associated with yesterday’s dramatic rebound in the stock. Today, the stock is coming back down on far lighter volume, suggesting investor appetite to buy this stock has faded today from yesterday’s activity.
Perhaps there’s a little profit taking going on here from the $1 mark early yesterday. That’s a pretty attractive one day trade for those who were accumulating when the stock was quiet.
If you want to look at Fib retracements off the one day volume bar, I’ve included them. In the early going, the stock has delivered the first corrective leg- the 38.2% retracement. For those who are looking for a reasonably good entry level, $1.18 is your number. The price has already gravitated there.
If you are looking for the absolutely ideal entry level, $1.09 is your number. I don’t know if we’ll get there, but anything is possible in this environment.
Comments and questions are welcome.
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I was fortunate to buy in this morning @ 1.20. Where do you think this stock might trade up to? It made a pretty impressive move today is a horrible market. Any expected news out there? Should I get be grateful and take profits now?
Editor: Harrison, by the time you read my reply, you should have also read about the massive new contract they just signed. If the stock trades up even more, I would suggest taking at least partial profits. If it pulls back on a “sell the news” move, you should either hold or buy more.
Comment by Harrison — 11/5/2008 @ 2:37 pm
WOW…. good call I bought right at 1.18 & I bet it wasn’t 15 minutes & it went up to close at 1.89 that just doesn;t happen to me, do you think my luck has changed. Thanks again. Verland
Editor: Hopefully, all our luck has changed with this idea. By the time you read this reply, you should have read the news about their major new contract. If the stock made a big surge, you might want to take some profits. If it’s a “sell the news situation”, it’s more of a buy.
Comment by Verland — 11/5/2008 @ 2:32 pm