Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
 |
Market
Comment |
 |
This past week was very disappointing
for the Bulls. CPI numbers came out mid-week and they were highly favorable
for the market. Once again they provided further evidence that the economy
is cooling off which should allow the FED to stop raising interest. The
next major market event is the FED's Open Market Committee meeting next
week after which they will announce any further interest rate increases.
Most analysts feel the FED should
now have enough evidence to believe the economy is cooling off, and will
either raise interest rates 1/4 point or do nothing at all. Bonds have
been rising the last few days, again suggesting that interest rates are
finally headed down.
This all leads us back to an ideal
environment for growth stocks, but the market doesn't seem ready to confirm.
None of the institutional money that has been piling up on the sidelines
over the last month was buying.
Here are some of the adjectives we
have heard in the last week to describe current market conditions:
-
Range- Bound
-
Choppy
-
Listless
-
Direction less
-
Stuck in the Mud
-
Lost in Space
The list could go indefinitely. You
get the point. We're stuck in a trading range right now with no clear direction.
Volume is sluggish in large cap stocks and nonexistent in small and micro
cap stocks.
Right now patience and faith are
your strongest allies. This is the type of market that will rocket up just
when every investor is finally convinced that no stock will ever go up
again.
The summer rally we are hoping for
is questionable at this time. If the FED does not raise interest rates
next week and the market stays range bound look for a quiet summer. However,
we still feel the upside potential is far greater than the downside risk
at this point.
In the meantime our friends at eGoose
managed to chop some decent returns out of a tough market this week. If
you didn't read our Wednesday edition with our June MVP Award you should
do so if you like short term trading opportunities. These guys have
been calling the market perfectly. Click
Here to read the edition.
Click
Here to Sign Up For a Three Week Free Trial
or go to the following web site:
http://www.egoose.com/SignUp/TrialForm.asp?assocID=OTCJournal
Allow a few seconds for their sign
up page to load. The response to this MVP Award was so overwhelming that
we strangled their server during the mid week surge in interest.
 |
iQROM
Communications, Inc (OTC BB: IQCO) Update |
|
Back on June 2nd we released our
profile on iQROM. If you missed it, click
here to read the original profile. At the time the stock was trading
at $10.0625 and has since seen a high of $10.625 and is now
holding steadily in the $10.50 range. We consider this short term
performance to be acceptable in a very tough market environment for small
and micro cap stocks.
After the management at iQROM
reviewed our original profile they were kind enough to point out some inaccurate
statements we published. None of these inaccuracies are substantive or
change our optimistic view of the future of this company, but it is very
important that you get accurate facts in order to make an informed investment
decision.
We stated that the credit card sized
CD Rom was capable of playing 40 minutes of video. That is inaccurate.
The medium is capable of providing a 40 minute presentation, but it cannot
all be video.
When we described the Soft CD
technology on these cards we noted that you simply clicked an Update
button to pull the latest information off the Internet. The new generation
product is better than this. The card automatically updates the most current
information off the Internet, and there is no manual click on an update
button required.
Diskxpress, the manufacturer
of the card which is marketed by iQROM, was spelled incorrectly.
We spelled it Diskexpress. The correct spelling is Diskxpress.
In our original profile we stated that Diskxpress can currently
manufacture 25 million units per month. That was incorrect. Diskxpress
can currently manufacture 25 million units annually. Furthermore,
we stated that they plan to ramp up capacity to 56 million units monthly
by July of 2002. This was also inaccurate. They are hoping to ramp up their
production capacity to 38 million monthly by the end of 2000.
When we discussed their patent on
the technology which centers the CD Rom in your drive, we stated that the
patent was both US and International. This was also incorrect. The patent
in only US. Therefore, any potential violations of the patent would be
in the US only.
In our original publication we noted
that 10 million business sized CD Roms had been produced in the
US in 1999. This number was also inaccurate. There were actually 18
million produced. Industry experts project that 90 million will be
produced in 2000, which would make the projected annual growth rate 500%.
We reported that the company had
distributed 1.2 million CD Roms in April. The actual number that
the company distributed was 1 million. When we said that they planned
on introducing a DVD version of the card by August, please do not
hold them to that. They will introduce a DVD version in the future,
but August might not be the exact introduction time.
Now, before getting on to the good
news that was released on the company earlier this week, we need to clarify
one statement we made in our original profile. Here is the exact text taken
directly out of the original profile:
| We have read the company's projections
for sales through Year 2002. We don't have the company's permission to
share them publicly as they contain forward looking statements. However,
this company anticipates substantial growth over the next several years,
and a $1 billion market capitalization for the stock is easily foreseeable
in the near future as long as they can attain the sales and profits within
their projections. In our opinion, these numbers are achievable. |
We need to clarify this statement
in order for iQROM to remain within SEC regulatory guidelines. The
company did not, and has not provided us with any forward looking projections.
The
information was provided to us by a shareholder that was in possession
of the pro formas.
In order to evaluate the potential
of these types of companies on behalf of our members we need some idea
of what they feel they can accomplish over the coming months and years.
However, at the same time we need to be sure that we don't cross over the
very murky line between information and insider information.
We are never in a position to act
on insider information because our management, employees, and affiliates
are forbidden to trade in any of the stocks that we cover. Never the less,
it is important that our readers recognize that iQROM provided us
with no forward looking statements. We obtained the information from other
sources. Management's concern over this issue suggests that they intend
to run a tight ship and only enhances our belief that this company will
be successful.
On Wednesday of this past week iQROM
issued
a press release which is the first step in confirming our hypothesis in
the original profile. We stated that in our opinion corporate America would
embrace this technology as a powerful marketing tool. Wednesday's press
release was what we hope will be the first in a series of contracts which
confirms our belief in this company.
The press release covered two new
contracts recently signed by the company. They signed contracts with both
Programmer's
Paradise and Bacardi Maritini. The Bacardi contract is important
because it clearly demonstrates how the digital technology can be used
in the corporate sales environment. The Bacardi CD will be used by the
company's sales team and allow salesmen to present the most current point
of sale materials and TV commercials to their customers.
Programmer's Paradise, a well
known software provider, will also use the business card sized CD Rom as
a sales and marketing tool. You can learn more about this company by visiting
www.programmersparadise.com.
Click
Here to read the complete text of the company's news release.
We are the very first newsletter
or brokerage firm to establish any type of coverage on iQROM. This
company has the type of technology which lends itself to high profile contracts
with companies that have large audiences. If the company is successful
in obtaining future contracts with high profile customers it will spill
over into the performance of iQROM shares.
With a bottom on this stock firmly
established at $10, there is significant upside with very little downside
from these levels. The only question is how much you will own when the
stock makes its first big run, and how long that will take for it to happen.
 |
Envoy
Communications (NASDAQ: ECGI) |
 |
Mid week Envoy announced another
major acquisition, and the stock made a valiant attempt to make its way
through $7 with no luck. In a different market environment we believe that
this stock would probably be on its way through $8 now and looking for
$10.
Mid week Envoy shares were
upgraded to a strong buy at Toronto Based Yorkton Securities.
Analyst
John McElveen placed a $12.50 (CDN) price target on the stock, which translates
to about $9 in the US on the NASDAQ market if he is right.
Choppy market conditions are holding
this one back, but we fell that the next Bull will take this stock much
higher. Please have patience and add to your position on any weakness if
your risk tolerance and capital allow you to do so.
|