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Titan Global (OTC BB: TTGL): Camping on a Perfect Retracement

I rarely come out and say this so emphatically, but I believe you should pick up shares of TTLG now as long as it remains below $1.20. I'm always preaching to investors about timing in your trades. Accumulate the stocks you like when they are cheaper, quieter, trading low volume, and no one wants them. 

Here's the big news on TTGL today- there isn't any. That's why you should pick it up today. This is a great idea if you like undervalued companies with improving fundamentals and improving stock prices.

TTGL is not a growth story. It doesn't need to be. It's a shrinking story. You don't have to rely on growth to make money in TTGL. It's all about the expenses decreasing which will lead to greater profitability.

After all, TTGL generated $30 million in revenues last quarter alone- that's a $120 million annual run rate. With about 50 million I&O, the market is only valuing the company at $57.5 million. 

Any hint of profitability and this stock is likely to continue moving up. On the cost side, TTGL generated $7.5 million in non cash charges in the quarter. Take out the non cash charges, and voila- you have a profitable company.

Costs are going down elsewhere as well. For example, TTGL has been quite expansive about the 10% excise tax they have been paying. The IRS told them they didn't have to, and they are getting a rebate. Settlements are coming from the IRS and Sprint. They are in negotiations with AT&T for a rebate. Their costs are going down by 10% for long distance. 

The also refinanced their debt on January 1 from a debt instrument with complicated equity components to simple cash debt with a much lower interest rate. Of the $7.5 million in non-cash expenses, $4 million were related to the debt instruments. Those are simply gone next quarter, and the charges could come back into the income statement. They relate to unexcercised options, and the costs go up as the stock goes up. It's crazy accounting stuff no one can figure out.

And, here's one more little nugget. They now own their own switch. They produce their own long distance time at a greatly reduced cost to them. When you sell 35 million international phone cards every year, that's big deal.

Want to see a nearly perfect 61.8% retracement? Check out this chart. It's fairly short term- just this year. If you measure the move the stock has made from January 1, you will see the perfect 61.8% retracement is $1.09. 

There are a couple of components which make this chart compelling. First, the stock got down to $1.10, and bounced. Secondly, it got down to $1.10 on greatly decreased volume, which suggests it is just sort of drifting down.

Here's the bottom line- if you want to own these stocks right, you have to own them when they are cheap and quiet. Then, when I'm reporting a major corporate event, and the stock is trading up rapidly on ten times normal volume, you can either sit tight or be a seller.

Wall Street is still the only place shoppers don't want to buy the same merchandise on sale.  If you would do it at Nordstrom, do it now. 

Accumulate immediately up to $1.20. SSL- moved up to $1.

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