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Top
Performing CAs |
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If you were to strictly follow and
act on every move of "kjduke", the SwingWire's top performing analyst
from September 1st to October 1st when the markets were steadily declining,
you would have realized a 40% portfolio gain. That's right, in the green
40%. If you're
skeptical as to that return figure,
create your free trial, log-in, and see for yourself. You do the math.
All trades both good and bad are
displayed for every SwingWire
CA since its inception.
The top 20 SwingWire CAs have amassed
a combined portfolio return on closed out positions in excess of 300% since
the Community's
official launch back on August 21st
of this year.
While the Nasdaq and Dow gave back
more than its fair share of Summer gains in the last month, many SwingWire
CAs took advantage of
those recent dips in an effort to
maximize the opportunities presented by the market's excessive volatility.
Commentary offered by CAs such
as "Kjduke", "MrWallStreet" and
"Swinger" during this time period proved out priceless as the month wore
on.
Here is an excerpt taken from
kjduke's trading space, which was posted on September 28th. The commentary
revealed a valuable message and warning to community members about what
was to transpire over the coming days. For those of you who follow the
market closely, in hindsight this commentary was eerie if you look at what
happened in the coming days following his post. If this isn't value, then
wedon't know what is. It went like this....
| "The increasing capitalization
of the strongest growth companies and sectors is coming at the expense
of economically sensitive companies and yesterday's-news-technology companies.
You could virtually see dollars flowing straight out of Intel, and into
JNPR, last Friday. Technology spending is still increasing, but its getting
focused as more companies get a handle on the internet economy. Companies
such as RBAK, JNPR, NTAP, ARBA and CIEN are emerging as the new tech leaders.
The performance gap will continue to widen, not narrow as valuation gurus
would have you believe.
At some point, valuations in the
strongest sectors will be overdone. But for now, new cash raised from selling
old-tech disappointments like MSFT, LU, INTC, HWP, APPL and others will
need to find a safe home. And safety in this market, at least going into
earnings season, are leadership companies with bulletproof, insatiable
(for now) demand." |
Obviously, most know what happened
to those stocks mentioned at the end of kjduke's commentary as September
came to a close and
on into early October, which ultimately
resulted in better buying opportunities for even those who still believe
in these iron clad bellwhethers.
A uniquely different commentary
posted by MrWallStreet on October 14th notified community members that
the "Friday Rally" was not the bottom, and that better buying opportunities
would be presented shortly, which proved out true with Monday through Thursday's
decline this week. MrWallStreet's commentary went as follows....
| "As I have mentioned in some
of my previous post's & commentary: I see the NASDAQ trading in a trading
range of 3100 - 3300 (3050-3350) to form a healthy base. What I see is
that a lot of people failed to mention on Friday was that a lot of Friday's
rally was a short covering rally. (Congrat's to Swinger he did mention
this also) The Put/Call Ratio was near an all time high and short interest
was on the incline. The only way these people could take there profits
from a volatile good week for bear's and short's was to buy on Friday and
cash out and book a profit.
The Big E's are still in place
and have not been resolved, (Energy, Euro, Election, Earnings) This week
will bring earnings reports from some of the biggest NASDAQ & Technology
stocks,(Starting on Tuesday - IBM, INTC, PCS, TLAB, Wed- AOL, AAPL, MSFT,
SUNW, EMC, TWX. Thursday EGRP & EBAY any negative earnings news or
lower 4th Quarter estimates will shake any confidence of a rally that was
built up on Friday that the worse may not be over yet.
I look for the market to go up
from the opening bell with new orders coming in from the public to buy
from Fridays rally, giving market makers an opportunity to raise there
bids and causing a gap opening for some stocks, then by 10:00 - 10:30am
prices will pull back again as the long's start to take their profit's
from a 10-20% move up on Friday in some stocks. ALL this naturally would
be contigent on what kind of news comes out over the weekend.
Technically speaking the 10 day
moving average for the NASDAQ is at 3353 which I feel that the NASDAQ will
hit it's head on from the bottom up and pull back from there. The DOW believe
it or not is looking stronger than the NASDAQ right now, this may be due
to all the energy stocks, and defensive stocks like drugs and cyclical
stocks that make up the DOW Jones Industrial average.
A close above 3353 for the NASDAQ
would be confirmation that indeed a new leg in the bull market is starting
to take place with the next target for the NASDAQ being 3650 it's 20 day
moving average, but not until it closes above it's 10 day moving average
of 3353." |
Many people will often say, "The
market is simple, buy low, sell high", that's how you make money in the
market, you don't need to be a brain surgeon or devote time to research
in order to make money in the market." So, the question arises, if it is
truly that simple, then why do so many people continue to lose money in
the market and eventually throw in the towel?
SwingWire CAs have and will
continue to provide valuable information and opinions that assists us all
in an effort to actually learn and practice the difficult art of buying
low and selling high in these volatile market times. That's value.
If you participated early on in the
Community's development stage, you'll be amazed at how active and valuable
the Community is now!
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