Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
Just a quick note on last week's
trading alert- Udate (OTC BB: UDAT)- The stock so far has been a
non-event. Nobody has made or lost much money. The company issued a press
release yesterday stating their intention to apply for a NASDAQ listing-
Look for the stock to trade above $4 tomorrow with a little luck.
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Trading
Alert: NetSol International (NASDAQ: NTWK) |
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Our current
editorial team has been involved with covering NetSol International
since January 15, 1999. The stock was our biggest winner, hitting a closing
high of $75 (1835% return) last March, just 15 months after releasing
the original profile.
The stock was
trading solidly in the mid $20s at the end of August when the market got
clobbered. The company has a very loyal shareholder base, but short sellers
were able to pound the stock down to a low of $4 on October 19th.
Since then
the stock has rebounded sharply. In this past weekend edition we suggested
buying if the stock pulled back to $7 from its $7.6875 close last Friday.
We had no way of knowing what would happen on Monday.
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Featured
On CNBC's Power Lunch |
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This past Monday
NetSol was featured on CNBC Power Lunch as a stock
that had been beaten down severely as was bouncing back. The publicity
simply eliminated the possibility of us seeing our $7 entry level in the
short term. In fact, the stock traded up to $11.40 that day.
Since then
we have been watching every trade looking for a good entry level. There
seemed to be resistance at $9, but every time the stock got down to about
$8.50 it rebounded.
Today the stock
finally broke through the $9 level at the end of the day and closed near
its intraday high on a day when the NASDAQ was down. In our opinion this
signals a potential break out.
Your risk reward
ratio is excellent in this stock. There seems to be good support at $8.50,
which is only $.68 below today's close of $9.18. The upside is a
return to the mid $20's in the next 30 to 60 days.
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NetSol's
Business Model |
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For those of
you who are unfamiliar with the company, NetSol is a Pakistani based
computer programming company. Good programmers are in huge demand, and
companies seeking to reduce their development costs outsource their programming
needs to NetSol. The company built its reputation by developing
most of the Mercedes-Benz leasing software which is currently in
use world wide. NetSol has over 400 employees (up from 150
a year ago), and charges $350 to $450 per day for the services of a programmer.
They pay that same programmer $35 to $45 per day, which is a comfortable
living in Pakistan.
They also own
the only broad-band ISP in Pakistan, a country of 150,000 million people,
along with a German ISP.
NetSol's
year 2000 revenues (June 30 year end) were about $7 million, double the
previous year. This year the company is expected to do $20 million in annual
sales and turn profitable. We understand the September quarter numbers
will be released within the next week. At that time we will get confirmation
of their progress.
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Trading
Alert Details |
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In our opinion
today's close over $9 represents a potential breakout.
Here are our
thoughts on this Trading Alert on: NetSol International (NASDAQ:
NTWK):
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Buy up to $9.75.
-
Set your Stop
Loss at $8.50 (Support Level) or what ever your risk tolerance is.
-
If the stock
can
get through $11.50 in the next 10 days it should go higher. Longer term
investors might look for the stock back in the mid $20's in the next 30
to 60 days if the NASDAQ gets healthier and short sellers are forced to
cover.
Coincidentally,
NetSol was trading almost exactly at these levels one year ago today when
the stock made its meteoric run to $75. Many of our members made huge retursn
on this stock. In the words of the great Yogi Berra, let's hope this is
"Deja Vu all over again".
These numbers
are our opinion only, and not a solicitation to buy this stock. Make up
your own mind. If you are looking for a short term trade limit your loss
if the stock goes against you. As always, we remind you to review the section
on our home page on Trading
Alerts, paying particular attention to the section on trading rules.
The track record on our previous alerts can be obtained by
clicking
here.
MarketByte
LLC, the owner and publisher of the OTC Journal has not been paid a fee
for this Trading Alert. However, one of our editors currently owns 3100
shares at an average cost of $15.41. This should be viewed as a conflict
of interest. Our editor can buy and sell shares in the stock at any time
at his discretion. |