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A Tale of Two Dividends- Titan (OTC BB:
TTGL) and Bad Toys (OTC BB: BTYH) Compared and Contrasted
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Friday, just post close, TTGL
announced it was throwing its hat in the ring to become another OTC
Journal special situation dividend idea. TTGL announced it would
be spinning out its PCB (printed circuit board) subsidiary into a separate
public company, and dividending out the ownership of the new company to
existing shareholders of TTGL.
There are some similarities and some
differences in the moves the companies are making. Titan's PCB division
muddies the waters a bit on the whole Titan story, and spinning
out the PCB division will serve to clear the picture. It will make Titan
a telecom company with a telecom business model. The surviving company
will be the real meat and potatoes of owning TTGL- the PCB spin
out is simply a little kicker somewhere down the road. At its current level,
I believe there is very strong upside in owning shares of TTGL,
and the spin out is simply another opportunity to enhance your return.
With BTYH, you are betting
you will make your money on the dividend of the Southland shares
once it opens for trading. You still have your BTYH shares, but
they only have the upside in concert with Southland.
Here's a quick review of the situation
for both companies:
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Bad
Toys (OTC BB: BTYH): Make Sure You Understand This |
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I have written about this pretty
much ad nauseum, so this will be the last coverage on the pending event.
If you own BTYH at the close
of market this coming Thursday, you are betting you will make your money
on your shares of Southland if, when, where, and how much it opens
for trading somewhere down the road.
The stock has found its way back
to the $1 range on the news the spin out is finally happening. While
it's a double off the bottom, it's still a far cry from the $2.50 level
the
stock found one year ago when the management of BTYH thought they
could do this in much shorter order.
I believe it is a very good bet the
company will be able to get Southland open on some sort of senior
listing at a level that reflects the true value of their business much
more efficiently.
A profitable company with their asset
base and record: $50 million in annual sales, profits about $5 million
annually, should be worth at least $100 million in the open market. With
28 million I&O, this implies a price of $3.57.
MarketByte LLC, the parent
company of the OTC Journal, owns 150,000 shares of BTYH (as
disclosed in every newsletter). The shares are restricted, but eligible
to be free trading under Rule 144. I am prepared to bet those shares on
the Southland dividend. None will be sold prior to Thursday. I want
to get the 150,000 share Southland dividend and take my chances.
I also believe BTYH has not
traded to last year's $2.50 level simply because the length of the
process has caused it's the company's credibility to erode. Investors are
more skeptical than they were one year ago.
I believe the thesis remains intact,
and the company has a very good shot of unlocking the value of Southland
by
completing this process.
Expect no less than two months (or
more) for Southland to open for trading somewhere and at some price.
Also- I believe the dividend is a tax free transaction. Unlike a cash dividend,
the company is simply giving you something you already own. Check with
your tax specialist to be certain.
Look for BTYH to open considerably
lower on Friday when it trades without the Southland dividend. Don't
email me on Friday wondering why BTYH is down dramatically. You
are informed. If you own BTYH at the close of market on Thursday
you will get the dividend no matter what you do with BTYH on Friday.
After Friday's level, BTYH should trade up and down with news related
to Southland, as BTYH will still own 20% of Southland. The other
80%
is
going to the shareholders.
I believe this is a heck of a good
bet anywhere in the $1 range. You simply have to be patient, and
wait for Southland to open for trading.
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Titan
Global (OTC BB: TTGL): A Dividend, But A Little Different |
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TTGL has also now turned into
a special situation dividend play. However, this one differs considerably.
Unlike BTYH, TTGL is not spinning out the meat of its company
into a separately traded public entity in order to unlock the value.
TTGL is spinning out the weaker
part of its business, and I believe there is an opportunity to make a significant
return simply by continuing to own shares of TTGL.
Out of the $100 million plus TTGL
enjoys in annual revenues, the PCB division only represents about $20 million,
and the division lost money last quarter.
This dividend is merely icing on
the cake for TTGL shareholders, and could turn into a lot more down
the road. At this point in time, the announcement will probably put a charge
in the stock for Monday's trading, and give investors another reason to
pounce on this undervalued situation.
Just as predicted, the stock bounced
beautifully off its short term 61.8% retracement level. Those who acted
on my idea last week in the $1.15 to $1.20 range made the
right trading move as things stand today. This bounce shows perfectly in
the chart.
The company will now have to move
forward with the regulatory process, so it will be some time before the
stock trade x-dividend. If you don't own this one and like fundamentally
undervalued companies, you need to own this stock.
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