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The Thrill of the Drill |
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Want to make money in small oil and
gas exploration companies? First and foremost, you must be in a favorable
market for those kinds of stocks. Historically, these stocks are red hot
when oil prices spike. Oil today: over $100 and holding- $106 today
for crude, Brent North Sea Crude $116 today. In this environment, you
need to look at small oil and gas exploration companies and alternative
energy companies. This is where you will find the big movers in the small
stock arena.
The key is timing and understanding
the "Thrill of the Drill" and what it means to the stock price.
Sure, we all want to find a small, unknown O&G exploration company,
make our bet, and watch the stock run up 2500% in two years as the company
finds resources and harvests them. A little research- maybe some of you
can confirm this- Nextraction Energy from $.35 to $1.08- June '09
to Jan '10- here's my favorite- TN-K Energy- 1 cent to $.70 (7200%)
- July '09 to Jan '10.
For the OTC Journal- I went
over them in yesterday's edition. Eagleford Energy (EFRDF) was featured
in the August
26th edition. $1.25 on that date. $2 in November for a 60% gain
in 15 weeks. FieldPoint Petroleum (AMEX: FPP)- November
18th edition. $3.25. Getting ready to drill. $5.50 in early March for
a 70% gain in 9 weeks. Click on the links for the past editions,
then go look at a chart. See for yourself.
For you really long term OTC Journal
followers-
remember HyperDynamics (AMEX: HDY)? I covered that one for a couple
of years on the hope they would start drilling in the waters off West Africa
controlled by Guinea. HDY has never stuck a drill bit in the ocean
floor, yet the stock trades anywhere from 2 to 25 million shares a day,
and has ranged between $3 and $8 in the last year. I covered that one for
a few years before giving up.
What is to be learned from these
examples? In all cases, the stocks traded very well when the company's
story featured the "Thrill of the Drill". Here's what I mean-
these stocks trade up when the company is gettig ready to drill test wells.
Once results are announced, the stocks might trade up higher or they might
pull back. In either case, if you position yourself ahead of the test drilling,
you are likely to make money.
Today's new idea is about to enter
that phase, and no one is watching. I'm going to follow this one for the
next year and report all their developments. If the company has any measure
of success, tomorrow is likely the cheapest you will ever find this stock.
Read on........
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The Eagle Ford Shale |
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I'm not going to spend a lot of time
on the Eagle Ford Shale. I've covered in past editions, and if you
know this sector at all, you've heard the name. Here's just a brief overview.
The Eagle Ford Shale formation
is
located in South East Texas.
New detection technologies have improved
the oil industry's ability to identify reserves, but it's the new drilling
technologies that have opened up these vast shale reserves in the US. It
all has to do with the ability to drill sideways, and frack. I'm not sure
how it all works, I just know it's big and could be a major factor in reducing
our dependence on foreign oil.
North Dakota's Bakken Shale formation,
which is becoming fully developed, is estimated to have 4.7 billion barrels
of recoverable oil. Early estimates on the Eagle Ford Shale are double
the Bakken Shale- about 9 billion barrels, which would make
it larger than Alaska. The Eagle Ford development is just getting
up to full steam.
Anadarko, Apache, and Cheapeake are
all extremely active in the area, acquiring vast drilling sites. Anadarko
is the most active major with 2,000 drill sites. Anadarko is deploying
10 rigs in Q1 '11 alone, and believe it has 450 million barrels of recoverable
oil.
The smaller, more nimble oil and
gas exploration companies tend to acquire their properties, get their seismic
data, and drill a test well or two. The test wells aren't that expensive.
Once drilled, the test well results show if the site has profitable, recoverable
resources. Once proved out, the smaller guys will either do a joint venture
with a big infrastructure company like an Anadarko, or simply be sell out
at a big premium.
You don't have to buy into an idea
like today's at $1 and change, and wait a couple of years for full production
to make money. You just have to be out in front of the "Thrill of the
Drill".
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Enter Bering Exploration
(OTC BB: BERX) |
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This little known and under followed
company has been getting really busy of late. Taking advantage of their
geographical proximity to the Eagle Ford Shale from Houston, BERX
just acquired the rights to drill 1200 acres smack dab in the middle
of all the fun.
The company disclosed the target
zone has "potential gross reserves" of 3 million barrels of oil at
120 potential well sites. 3 million barrels of oil equates
to $330 million in revenues at today's oil prices.
I started taking note of this stock
about a month ago, and have been buying shares for my own account. As you
can see, in anticipation of a much higher level of activity, the stock
has trended up nicely in 2011.
However, it has yet to trade really
big volume, but I believe volume surges are coming soon - perhaps in the
next two weeks.
The management at BERX has
the advantage of one abandoned well bore which will give them some good
data. I believe they were preparing for this for some time, and I expect
the guys at BERX will waste no time getting the first test wells
identified and drilled.
Very Important- Remember, we don't
wait for the company to drill a hole and announce a major find. It's the
"Thrill
of the Drill" that will bring new shareholders to the stock. If they
are successful, all the better. Sometimes in these situations, it's best
to take partial profits on the thrill, and wait to see how it comes out
after the drill.
I've accumulated about 75,000 shares
for my own account ranging in price from $.81 at the absolute lowest to
about $1.10. If you decide to get started tomorrow, I can assure you -
you won't be buying my shares.
However, if you decide to pick up
this stock in the $2 to $2.50 range, you might just be buying it from me,
because that's what I'm looking for near term.
I plan to follow this story for the
next year. The management team here is very aggressive and has great contacts
in this area. The company has its roots with a bunch of South Texas oil
guys who have done really well in the past.
The only thing that might derail
my interest would be falling oil prices, and that seems unlikely to me.
I'm willing to bet BERX has three runs and three pull back periods
between now and the end of the year, and I'll make money on all three.
That's my bet. Any takers out there? Send me an email, and you're on.
This is the OTC Journal "First
Look" at BERX. Lots more to come.
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Email Questions or Comments To:
editor@otcjournal.com
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