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Newsletter
November 16, 2002
Volume V, Issue 87
Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com

To OTC Journal Members:
 

I Can't Say I Was Ever Lost, but I Was Bewildered Once For Three Days
Daniel Boone  US Pioneer

 
Market Comment- Very Constructive Week Bodes Well For Higher Levels

The editors of the OTC Journal believe the threat of potential war with Iraq has had a major dampening effect on the market's potential to move up. This is not simply psychological. The threat of war makes consumers afraid to spend and companies afraid to invest capital in expansion, which inhibits top line growth.

Like Daniel Boone, the market isn't really lost, it is just temporarily bewildered. September quarterly earnings were very strong, driven primarily by corporate cost cutting initiatives. The market traded up nicely in October on the heels of unexpectedly strong corporate performance, but could not break through the high set in August. The subsequent pull back ended in a lower low, which suggests we are still in a bear market.

One could have reasonably expected the NASDAQ to drop to a lower low in November, following the same pattern we have lived with since March of 2000. However, much to the delight of investors, this has not happened. The NASDAQ dropped a little in a pullback characterized by extremely light volume, and now appears to be poised to challenge the 1430 level again. If the NASDAQ can pierce this level convincingly, look for a confirmed trend reversal and higher levels for stocks.

This past week was very constructive. We had a fifty point rebound in the NASDAQ on Thursday as tensions eased with Iraq, but today's action was even more impressive. The NASDAQ had every reason to get clobbered on weak economic data and geopolitical terrorist fears from a strong home land security warning, and the NASDAQ ended up flat on very light volume. Look for a retest of the 1430 level next week. If it gets through, many technicians will be declaring the Bear extinct.
 

StockGroup Information Services (OTC BB: SWEB)- Analyst Places Price Target 190% Above Today's Closing Price

Volume continues increasing in this stock without significant price appreciation, but we believe a break out is imminent. The 20 day average volume (140,000 shares per day), is nearly 300% higher than the 150 day average volume (51,000 shares per day), which clearly indicates interest in increasing.

Others are beginning to take notice. Yesterday, an independent analyst who has been following StockGroup for some time issued an updated research report, projecting a 52 week price target of $.55 to $.65, some 190% above today's closing price.

Moreover, Michael Whitney of Investrend Research, believes the company will earn $.05 per share in 2003 on $4.1 million in revenues. 

The recent contract we covered in our November 5th edition with Microsoft has brought significant new interest into the stock, and is mentioned specifically in the research report.

As this report becomes more widely disseminated to investors, we expect volume to continue to increase in the stock, leading to a breakout in price.

Over the past several months we have witnessed significant volume increases in several of the microcap stocks will follow, but there has not been significant corresponding price appreciation. The past 2 1/2 years of challenging market conditions have resulted in pent up demand to sell. Once this demand is satisfied, many of these microcap stocks will trade up rapidly.

Investors would do well to remember that stocks make 90% of their moves in 10% of the time they trade. If you're not in when lightning strikes, you won't be there to take the profits. Patience while awaiting the inevitable should pay off.

We strongly recommend you read the two page research update and earnings projections. Simply click here to access the document and see if you don't agree this stock has powerful upside potential. 

Here is the complete text of the associated news release for your review:
 

Press Release Source: InvesTrend; Stockgroup Information Systems Inc. 

Stockgroup `Speculative Buy,' $0.55-$0.65 12-Month Target, Reiterated by Investrend Analyst Michael Whitney, CFA

Thursday November 14, 1:29 pm ET 

NEW YORK, Nov. 14, 2002 (PRIMEZONE) -- Investrend analyst Michael Whitney, CFA, is reiterating his `Speculative Buy' and 12-month target of $0.55 to $0.65 on Stockgroup Information Systems Inc. (OTC BB:SWEB.OB - News), and has issued a new ResearchNote.

The full report is at http://www.investrendresearch.com

``Our 2002 EPS estimate calls for a loss of $0.09 per share on revenues of $2.08 million. For 2003, we are estimating earnings to be $0.05 per share with sales of $4.1 million,'' said Whitney.

``The third quarter saw organic sequential revenue growth, progress is being made in drive to achieve consistently positive EBITDA, Stockgroup's products gain significant credibility through its recent landing of Microsoft Network of Canada as a client, the company is close to raising additional working capital, recent announcements demonstrate the company's value proposition and the sales pipeline continues to build with recurring revenue opportunities,'' he concluded.

Michael Whitney, CFA, is a member of AIMR and the Boston Society of Securities Analysts. He has served as a securities analyst for six years at Tucker Anthony Capital Markets and Advest Inc. His research experience includes broad technology coverage. He has also followed companies in the Business Services, Consumer and Healthcare industries. Mr. Whitney received his MBA from Boston University and his BA from North Adams State College. He is the president and a cofounder of the BenMat Foundation, a charitable organization devoted to children's and animal's issues.

Investrend Research has been a leading independent equity research publishing and distribution program since 1996, with more than 65 AIMR-qualified professional analysts posting more than 450 reports to date. Anyone, including a company, investor relations practitioner, financial institution or interested private investor, may enroll a company for coverage. Enrollment fees vary, up to $1,950 per month for full, continuous coverage, which is being paid by the company. Analysts are paid in advance for their initial reports by Investrend to insure independence. Investrend Communications, Inc. is a Financial Intelligence company providing research, broadcast, forums and information platforms to the financial community. Full details of the company's policies and guidelines are posted on the website at http://www.investrend.com.

Anyone interested in receiving alerts regarding Stockgroup Information Systems research should email info@investrend.com with ``SWEB'' in the subject line.

Contact:
          Investrend Communications, Inc.
          Investrend Research Div.
          R. Hempel
          (718) 896-5060
          info@investrend.com
          www.investrend.com

          Stockgroup Information Systems Inc.
          Marcus New
          (800) 650-1211
          ir@stockgroup.com
         http://www.stockgroup.com
 


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Disclaimer
The OTCjournal.com Newsletter is an independent electronic publication committed to providing our readers with factual information on selected  publicly traded companies. All companies are chosen on the basis of certain financial analysis and other pertinent criteria with a view toward  maximizing the upside potential for investors while minimizing the downside risk, whenever possible.  Moreover, as detailed below, this publication accepts compensation from certain of the companies which it features.  Likewise, this newsletter is owned by MarketByte, LLC.  To the degrees enumerated herein,  this newsletter should not be regarded as an independent publication.

Click Here to view our compensation on every company we have ever covered, or visit the following web address:  http://www.otcjournal.com/disclaimer.html for our full profiles and http://www.otcjournal.com/trading-alerts/disclaimer.html for Trading Alerts. MarketByte LLC has received no compensation in the form or cash or securities for coverage of StockGroup Information Systems. Currently, there is no formal relationship between the two parties. Both parties are contemplating an informal relationship wherein MarketByte may receive benefits in the form of advertising and/or technology services. This should be construed as a potential conflict of interest. 

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