Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
 |
Question: What
Do These Three Companies Have In Common? |
|

Answer
-
They are all in the information technology
business.
-
They are all losing money.
-
The price of their stocks has appreciated
substantially this year- TSCM up 53%, PCOR up 48%, and MKTW up 68%.
All three of these companies have treated
shareholders to substantial appreciation this year as measured from their
closing price on the first trading day of 2003.
As you can see, each of the stocks,
perhaps with the exception of PCOR, has had its ups and downs over
the course of the past 90 days. PCOR has been going straight up.
Three other companies I'm not showing which also compare include CNET
(up 220% over the last 90 days), Hoovers which was bought out by
Dun
& Bradstreet, and Multex which was bought out by
Reuters.
Here's an idea in a stock in this
same group which is undervalued as compared to its peers, and is due to
join the party soon.
 |
StockGroup
Technologies (OTC BB: SWEB)- When Will This Stock Join the Party? |
 |
StockGroup has enjoyed a great
first half of the year, but has not joined the appreciation party in this
industry group. The company has grown its corporate customer base to 300
clients, reduced a substantial debt burden to next to nothing, garnered
institutional sponsorship for the first time in three years, become the
digital financial information solutions provider for the Associated
Press, and landed Microsoft as a client.
In fact, Bill Gates said the
following about StockGroup: "The Stockgroup solution allows us to
continue to be a leader by providing our users with the latest up to date
financial news, while providing the most cost effective solution,"
Bill
Gates, Microsoft Chairman and Chief Software Architect. (Nov. 2002)
Despite all these positive developments,
StockGroup's
shares have been stuck in the mud, trading between the $.25 and $.30 level
for four months.
It seems to me that everyone wants
to buy stocks when they are hot and moving up. No one seems willing to
just accumulate shares when the stock is trading quietly, with an eye towards
selling when everyone is buying. If you had used this strategy and bought
SHEP
Technologies two weeks ago when it was trading quietly and no one wanted
it, you could have watched the stock appreciate 300% in two weeks, and
been in a position to take a substantial profit.
 |
Undervalued
As Compared To Its Peer Group |
 |
As compared to the stocks listed
above, I believe StockGroup should be trading at about $.42.
>From today's closing price, that is a 50% return on invested capital,
if and when the stock appreciates to the equivalent level of its peers.
The table below provides all the comparisons you need to make your own
evaluation.
I don't know what event will kick
this stock into high gear, but I didn't know what would do it for SHEP
Technologies. It just happened. I know StockGroup is growing
(about 50% annually), I know their balance sheet has improved considerably,
and I know the Associated Press relationship gives them extraordinary
potential for accelerating growth.
Why not invest in shares of StockGroup
while it continues to be stuck just under the $.30 level? Then, when the
stock finally breaks out, runs up the charts, and everyone wants it, you
can be the seller for once.
Here is a table with the comparisons
you need. Review, and let me know if you believe StockGroup is probably
worth $.42 per share as compared to it peer group today. If you
agree, drop back and punt the stock into your portfolio.
|
Stockgroup
Comparable Value = US $0.42 today (50% Discount)
This table illustrates
the potential of Stockgroup's share price based on comparable industry
valuations. |
| Company |
Ticker |
Recent Price |
Shares Outstanding |
Market Cap. |
2002 Rev. |
Mkt Cap/Rev. |
2002 EPS |
| Pinnacor |
PCOR |
1.91 |
44,848,386 |
85,521,030 |
34,566,480 |
2.46 |
-0.13 |
| Thestreet.com |
TSCM |
4.59 |
29,007,394 |
133,800,223 |
20,846,686 |
6.65 |
-0.37 |
| MarketWatch |
MKTW |
8.30 |
17,060,711 |
141,134,257 |
44,524,000 |
3.2 |
-0.57 |
| Industry
average, "Market Cap to revenue" multiple: |
4.10 |
-0.46 |
| Current and
Comparitive Valuation |
| Stockgroup
- current |
SWEB |
0.29 |
19,552,596 |
5,670,253 |
1,964,699 |
2.89 |
-0.02 |
| Stockgroup
- comparitive valuation (see note 1) |
SWEB |
$0.42 |
19,552,596 |
6,904,786 |
1,964,699 |
4.10 |
|
| The
table illustrates that Stockgroup is trading at a substantial discount
to it's peer group. |
|
|
|
Charts Provided Courtesy
Of TradePortal.com |