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To
OTC Journal Members:
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Market
Comment |
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The NASDAQ finally dropped below
1400 today for the first time since September 21, 2001 on the heels of
WorldCom's
admission it overstated last year's cash flow by $3.8 billion. More
fraud in the news.
The media was in a frenzy, suggesting
minute by minute that our entire economic system about to completely unravel.
Traders were expecting a cataclysmic sell off at the open, and were disappointed
by the lack of sell side volume.
Certainly, the NASDAQ's drop below
1400 keeps the steady erosion of value in place. However, aside from the
Telecom sector, there was very little volume associated with this continuing
selling pressure.
For example, our favorite idea for
2002, Cross Media Marketing (AMEX: XMM), closed flat today, but
it was only on 37,500 shares of volume. The stock trades an average of
120,000 per day. Therefore, volume was 1/4 of normal, suggesting there
were no real sellers.
In fact, most investors have already
sold if they were going to, and short sellers have already sold all they
could borrow. A buyers strike is keeping the bias to the downside, but
there doesn't seem to be any real sell pressure, especially in the small
cap arena where accounting fraud in rare.
WorldCom was already trading
under $1 per share, so how much lower was it going to go?
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Special Announcement-
New Profile To Be Released This Friday |
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Do you know what the following companies
have in common? Answer below.
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eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY)
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1800Flowers.com (NASDAQ: FLWS)
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Overture Services (NASDAQ: OVER)
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Expedia Inc. (NASDAQ: EXPE)
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Hotels.com Cl A (NASDAQ: ROOM)
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Priceline.com (NASDAQ: PCLN)
Answer: They are all profitable dot
coms with proven business models. They are all trading substantially higher
than they were at the bottom of the dot com demise (about October of 2000)
and higher than they were at last year's low (September 21).
While everybody talks about eBay
as the dot com that worked, there are many others. Overture Services
is a startling example of a successful dot com business model. The company
provides pay-for-performance search services on the Internet. Here is their
historical revenue performance:
-
1999- $26 million
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2000- $103 million
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2001- $288 million
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Last quarter: $142 million
In this weekend's profile you will read
about an unknown dot com that is growing as faster than Overture,
and is making substantial profits. Here is an excerpt from their press
release on 1st Quarter results: "Revenues for the three months ended
March 31, 2002 were $9.14 million, compared to $1.54 million for the three
months ended March 31, 2001, an increase of 494%". They also made $3
million on their revenues.
We had a spectacular ride on Cross
Media for you from the time we introduced it. It ran from $6.70
when we found it on November 5th 2001, and saw a high of $14.89
on April 8th (up 122%) on the back of strong fundamentals. We are
expecting a repeat performance here, as this idea is based on rapid growth
in both sales and earnings, not start up technology. Stand by to read an
exciting new profile this weekend.
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Special
Alert: Calypte (OTC BB: CALY) Nearing Alert Target Price |
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On May
31st we published a Trading Alert on Calypte Biomed, the
only company with an FDA Approved test for HIV using urine. The stock was
just under $.14 at the time.
We placed a price target of $.20
on the stock in our Trading Alert. In case you hold the stock and are following
the situation, it has been appreciating steadily on the back of several
positive announcements.
The stock closed today at $.189
(up 37%), fast approaching our $.20 target. More on this
micro cap in future editions.
Charts Provided Courtesy
Of TradePortal.com
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