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An Obese Market |
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Oil cranked up through $130
today- the dollar is giving back some of its recent gains. The market is
starting to give some ground. I moved back into the money on my short position
in the market- as covered in the weekend edition.
In case you missed it- here's today's
idea for a trade. I believe the market is overdue for a correction. We
have been chugging straight up for about 2 months, and this rally is running
out of steam. There are still a lot of headwinds for the economy, and anyone
who appreciates the cycles should recognize there is an opportunity to
notch some profits betting the market is overdue for a breather.
The security I have chosen to own
as a bet the market will going into a corrective phase is UltraShort
QQQ (AMEX: QID)- this is an ETF that tracks the ETF for the NASDAQ
100- QQQQ on a 2 for 1 basis. Anotherwords, if the QQQQs go down 1%, this
stock should trade up about 2%. My current position: 2,000 QID at $38.67.
I believe the QQQQs have a
pending date with about $44.50- that's about an 11% drop from last
week's high- a 61.8% retracement of the March to May gains.
If my thesis proves out, QID should
have a date with about $44.75 (currently $38.80)- which coincidentally
just about perfectly fills a gap created in mid April.
For those who are looking to use
leverage and bet with a smaller amount of money, the call options on QID
aren't too terribly pricey. I would suggest the June 38s- symbol QID.SL
trading at about $2.50. A purchase of 10 calls- representing 1,000 shares,
would run you about $2,500.
If my target is right, those options
could trade as high as $6.75 to $7- A darn strong return in anyone's book.
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Pickle Opens #39- Another Step
Towards Profits |
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If it's not there yet, this sign
is coming to your neighborhood- someday.
After a breather in Q1 on new store
openings, Spicy Pickle is back on track with its expansion program.
Store #39 opened last week, and it's a company owned store.
Therefore, it should add another
$500k to $700k to top line revenues for the company, and deliver gross
profits in the 15% range.
The new corporate store is the second
in the Ft. Collins area, and is located at 2120 E. Harmony Rd., Unit 101,
Ft. Collins, CO 80525. I believe this represents the #6 corporate owned
store, with one more company owned store currently under construction.
As a corporate store, this location
now ceases to be a cash drain, and begins to deliver cash flow to SPKL.
One more to go, and a bunch of franchises under construction.
Shares of SPKL have been treading
water just below $.90 for about a month. Since this stock has already suffered
a major correction, I believe a breakout to the upside is inevitable. The
market is slowly grinding through some excess supplies, and at some point
will change character.
Home Page : www.otcjournal.com
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editor@otcjournal.com
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for Trading Alerts. Larry Isen, the editor and publisher of the OTC Journal,
through various entities he controls, has purchased 1,200,441 shares of
Spicy Pickle at an average cost of $.2125 per share. These purchases were
made in Spicy Pickle private offerings. The aforementioned purchases were
made between August of 2005 and August of 2006. On 12/15/07, on entity
controlled by Larry Isen participated in an additional financing wherein
12 shares of convertible preferred, converting at $.85 into 120,000 shares
and 90,000 warrants with an exercise price of $1.60 were purchased. In
addition, Larry Isen has received 785,000 shares of Spicy Pickle common
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per share, 21,961 in the open market at $.76 per share and received an
additional 70,000 for consulting services. Current positions of the aforementioned
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