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To
OTC Journal Members:
You will find a newly posted BLOG
with a complete update on last week's annual 10K filing of the audited
financial statement from Spicy Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL). Definitely
worth a read- this stock will be much higher in the next Bull Market in
my view. Read my comments, and find out where it could go between now and
then.
I've also started a new feature-
a daily BLOG with a short review and some observations on the market
and how I see it. I won't be able to publish it every day as it can be
tough when traveling, but I'll try to do it as frequently as possible.
Let me know if you find it valuable.
For those of you who are following
my short term trading ideas in the BLOG, this past week I closed
out the Lehman (NYSE: LEH) puts I suggested in last weekend's edition.
I held them for two trading days- Monday and Tuesday, and closed them out
on Wednesday. Happy to notch a $3,000 gain on an $8,000
high risk investment in two days, but left some money on the table
by exiting early. Between GS and LEH I'm 2 for 2 on the short
term ideas I've shared. Perhaps I'm due for a losing trade.
On Friday, just before the market
closed, I picked up 1,000 SPY (ETF for the S&P 500) at $132.06
as
posted in the BLOG. I think the larger market will bounce early
next week, and I'll scalp a couple of points off this trade.
If you want to follow these trades,
you can either check the site periodically, or use the RSS Feeds
to imbed the BLOG in the home page of your browser. Simply go to
the home page at www.otcjournal.com
and check the right hand menu bar for new postings.
The BLOG is your opportunity
to ask questions and offer comments. I will make an effort to answer every
legitimate question. If I don't know the answer, I will contact the management
and get the answer. Alternatively, if you have questions you don't want
publicly displayed, you can always email me directly at editor@otcjournal.com.
If you submit a comment or question, it will not appear on the site until
I have responded.
To use the BLOG, simply go
to the home page at www.otcjournal.com
- the BLOG scrolls down from the upper right hand corner. The most
current journal entries appear on the right hand side of you screen. Check
back frequently for updates particularly when stocks are moving to overbought
or oversold levels in volatile markets.
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The Big Trade
For Next Week: RIMM |
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I believe I have identified a really
exciting trading opportunity for next week, and I want everyone to get
the heads up ahead of time in the event you like the idea and want to position
yourself.
Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM)-
makers of the widely used Blackberry (I used to have one, but I like the
iPhone better) is setting up for a great trade in my view.
Here's the current chart.
Two big consumer tech names have
been trading really well of late: Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL- darn it,
I missed the bottom), and Research In Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM).
As you can see from the chart, RIMM
has made a big comeback of late, rebounding from about $80 during
the January low back to the $120 level this past week. It has been
particularly strong this past week.
RIMM is announcing year end
earnings after the close this coming Wednesday, and the financial media
is buzzing about robust results and earnings doubling to $401 million,
or $.71 per share.
This is a pattern I have seen time
and time again over the years. When a stock runs up into a big earnings
release, good or bad, it nearly always sells off after the fact.
If RIMM continues trading
up into the event post close on Wednesday, I am going to take a fairly
substantial short position by either shorting the stock or buying puts
before the earnings are announced. Perhaps I'll do both.
This is certainly risky, and definitely
not a suitable use of your "safe" money. However, I like the odds if RIMM
keeps
moving up the charts.
Here's what will happen. If the company
delivers any sort of disappointment on any front, the stock will absolutely
get killed. If the company delivers the numbers as expected, the stock
will go down. If the company absolutely blows away the "whisper" number,
the stock will trade up briefly, then probably give some ground. This market
is far from out of the woods, and RIMM's reward for stellar performance
is already being priced in.
If it continues to trade up into
Wednesday, I will definitely be taking a short position, and advise everyone
via the BLOG.
Several followers have asked me to
publish these short term ideas with email additions. It's not viable. It
takes about 4 hours to get it out to everyone, and in a moving market its
simply too long.
Check back frequently next week if
you want to know what I suggest- which will mirror my own trades.
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