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Platina Energy (OTC BB: PLTG):
The Little Stock That's Trying |
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PLTG has been making an effort
try for higher levels of late, so it's worth looking at. Of the three little
penny stocks I cover, this is the one with some decent volume that's trying
like heck to head for higher ground.
Coming off about a $.02 low ten days
ago, the stock had a pretty nice breakout yesterday on relatively high
volume, all things considered. PLTG traded 3.5 million shares yesterday
for no apparent reason, and made a new high for the second half of October
of $.04- which is no small feat in today's beat down environment.
What's the excitement? The company
has recently announced positive progress at its drilling sites, and disclosed
4 of its 10 Kentucky wells are now in daily production. Today, just prior
to the market open, the company announced positive early results from its
Wyoming sites.
It's nice to see one of the small
ones come up off the canvas and at least trying to rebound in some reasonable
fashion. There are some real positives with these 4 wells online and 6
more around the corner.
The main concerns here are capital
and dilution. If the company chooses to raise money at these levels, it
would be absurd for the current stock price. I don't know exactly how they
will continue drilling without new capital. They might have to be satisfied
with what they have for a bit.
Quarterly numbers are going to show
a huge top line percentage increase, but it's going to be a pretty small
number. Longer term, there is clearly going to be an evolution to Natural
Gas from oil. I think America has pretty much had it with the oil addiction
even if the price continues falling. PLTG has plenty of natural
gas and oil producing properties it can continue expanding. It's simply
a function of having the capital.
In the meantime, this little stock
is sure trying to regain some ground. For you penny stock lovers, might
be worth a punt on a pullback. Clearly, there is a lot of interest as compared
with some of the other really small issues.
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The Dirty Little Secret of
Hedge Funds |
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So, how many hedge funds are there?
- last I heard, the estimate was about 9,000, and they are all looking
for that competitive information edge which will allow them to out perform
the market.
As one fund manager recently told
me- we expect to be down about 35% this year, which should out perform
the market for the 12th year in a row.
In case you didn't know, here's how
a hedge fund works. One or two guys get together and they think they have
enough experience and expertise to outperform the market in their particular
field of speciality. They put together a document, put the first $5 million
in themselves, and go out and raise another $95 million from institutional
investors. They charge an annual management of 2% of the assets of the
fund, and 20% of the profits. Then, they use the $100 million as collateral
to borrow another $100 million plus for the fund.
Now you have $200 million under management,
so you have $4 million in annual revenues to run the fund. Not bad so far.
Then you get to keep 20% of the proftis generated as an incentive for achieving
superior results. This is known as a "2-20" fund.
Now, here's the rub- you get paid
20% of the profits generated as long as your fund stays above the "high
water mark". Each year, the fund needs to appreciate higher than last year
in order to earn your bonus.
So, you cruise along for five years,
generating 20% on your $200 million- the fund keeps growing and you get
your bonuses. 20% on $200 million is $40 million, and 20% of $40 million
in $8 million. If the fund gets bigger, so do the bonuses.
So- here's what's really happening
out there. Some of these fund managers are placing the wrong bets and blowing
up. Some of them have been absolutely killed- and it's not neccessarily
in US equities. If you bet on oil, you got killed. If you continued to
bet against the dollar, you are getting killed. You're pretty much getting
killed in all classes of assets.
Let's take it one more step. Let's
say the bank, which loaned you $100 million secured by your first $100
million, wants its money back. In fact, let's say that bank just seizes
your fund, and is only concerned with getting whatever it can out of its
$100 million back.
As the fund manager, you don't really
care. Here's why. Let's say you simply close your fund with a 50% loss,
and send back everyone's money on a pro rata basis. Why don't you care?
Because, if you hung in there and tried to rebuild the fund, you would
probably have to at least double the value of the fund before you ever
made another bonus. Why bother?
Here's what you do. Liquidate- either
forcibly or by choice, take your millions, and walk away. Wait six months
for the mess to shake out, then come back and start another fund with a
new high water mark.
Hundreds if not thousands of funds
are closing down now under this exact scenario- why? It simply makes more
economic sense for the fund managers to just walk away rather than try
to rebuild. Hence- the big difference between hedge funds and mutual funds.
Forced liquidations are a major part
of today's market climate, like it or not. Once you understand what's going
on, you can better understand some of the whacky pricing we've been seeing.
I'm not saying its good or bad, I'm
just explaining the scenario as is. It's great if you have cash. Let them
implode, then pick up the pieces on bargain basement steals.
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