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June
21, 2004 |
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Volume
V, Issue 61 |
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Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
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NuTech Digital
(OTC BB: NTDL): Will Deliver Best Quarter in Company's History |
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After a mildly disappointing 1st
quarter, NuTech Digital looks like it is going to live up to my
previous expectations for exciting and explosive growth in both sales and
earnings.
Today, just after the market closed,
NuTech
announced it had delivered $600,000 of its previously announced largest
order in history, and those revenues would flow to the June quarter results.
Moreover, NuTech revealed
the company was on track to deliver its normal $1 million in ongoing business,
and therefore deliver the best top line quarterly revenues in corporate
history. At this time, I expect NuTech to deliver at least
$1.6
million in the June quarter, and as usual be cash flow positive
from operations.
It looks like NuTech is going
to take its bite out of the burgeoning market for DVD content. At the end
of 2003, it was estimated 59 million US households owned DVD players. DVD
sales in the US alone are forecast to be $14 billion in 2004,
with a surge to $21 billion in 2005.
Assuming the $1.6 million number
is achieved, NuTech will deliver by far the best top line quarter
in corporate history. If the company can continue to deliver at this level,
the annualized growth rate over 2003 will stand at 60%. However,
as Chairman Lee Kasper suggests in the press release, NuTech's newly
established growth trend should continue for the remainder of 2004 and
into 2005, potentially placing us on the front end of a much steeper growth
curve.
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NTDL:
Over Sold Bounce Imminent |
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I can't help but believe the risk/reward
ratio on shares of NTDL at this time is outstanding. Those of you
who have been following the situation since I first introduced it will
fondly remember the surge over the initial few days. The stock more than
doubled to the $1.50 level. The memory of the subsequent sell off after
the effective registration statement from the January funding is far more
painful.
I believe the demand/supply ratio
has finally adjusted in favor of the long side. The stock clearly has no
energy to trade much below the $.40 level, suggesting all the private placement
shareholders who wanted to sell have done so. The supply side has completely
dried up at these levels.
Furthermore, June's revenues would
suggest this company has now achieved an approximate annual run rate of
$6.4
million. With about 21 million shares I&O, the whole market value
(market capitalization) of the company stands at $8.4 million. This
company is worth at least two to three times revenues, which would suggest
an upside of about $.90.
The $.40 floor on the stock is no
coincidence. It is the price investors paid in the private placement. $.90
is a sensible upside target, as there are about 13 million warrants with
a conversion price of $.75. Therefore, I believe it is reasonable to expect
some technical resistance once the stock eclipses the $.75 level.
In light of today's news, coupled
with diminished supply of stock and the oversold condition, I believe a
bounce could be in the cards for NTDL. $.50 to $.60
is probably a good short term target, with higher levels in the cross hairs
this summer if the company delivers new projects in either the concert
DVD side of their business, or they do something high profile with their
DRM (Digital Rights Management) Technology for viewing movies over the
internet.
Here is the complete text of today's
news release for your review:
| Press Release Source:
NuTech Digital, Inc.
NuTech Digital Announces
Completion of $600,000 Shipment
Monday June 21, 4:25
pm ET
VAN NUYS, Calif.--(BUSINESS
WIRE)--June 21, 2004--NuTech Digital, Inc. (OTCBB:NTDL - News), a leader
in Digital Rights Management technology for the secure Internet distribution
of entertainment content, announced today that they have completed the
largest shipment to date. The $600,000 shipment was sent to a national
chain of discount stores throughout the country.
"This $600,000 shipment
is the largest that we have ever had at NuTech Digital. We believe this
shows that we can meet the needs of larger retailers throughout the country,"
stated Lee Kasper, NuTech's CEO. "We remain extremely confident in the
future of our company. We are focused on continuing to increase our profit
margins and top line revenues as we dramatically expand our product offerings
this year."
The unique content in
the $600,000 order is geared towards the children's market. NuTech has
recently signed a licensing agreement to make this same content available
for European distribution, and NuTech anticipates it will begin generating
revenues in the third quarter from these new titles.
Lee Kasper went on to
state, "This $600,000 order is over and above our normal business, which
traditionally generates approximately $1 million in quarterly revenues.
Therefore, I anticipate extremely strong top line growth for the June quarter.
We will report the highest quarterly revenue level in our company's history.
We also anticipate this trend will continue for the remainder of 2004 and
beyond as we enter new content and technology arenas."
About NuTech Digital
NuTech Digital is a pioneer
in the home entertainment product market, with more than 600 exclusive
DVD titles and a growing library of High Definition music concerts. NuTech
Digital offers original and licensed content via a worldwide network of
distributors, retailers and Internet entities. NuTech Digital also has
broadcast availability, DRM, and video on demand for many of its new products.
NuTech Digital recently introduced its DRM technology, which enables the
secure distribution of high-resolution digital content via the Internet
(www.nutechdigital.tv). NuTech's Digital's DRM platform allows its feature
films, concerts, children's animated films, karaoke software, Japanese
animation and late-night programming to be accessed via secure downloads
and included in online subscription services. NuTech Digital also facilitates
authoring services to content providers in the entertainment industry.
Cautionary Statement
This press release contains
forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions
that if they never materialize or prove incorrect, could cause NuTech Digital,
Inc.'s results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by
such forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of
historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements,
including any projections of earnings, revenue, or other financial items,
any statements of the plans, strategies, and objectives of management for
future operations, any statements concerning proposed new products, services
or developments, any statements regarding future economic conditions or
performance, statements of belief and any statements of assumptions underlying
any of the foregoing. These statements are based on expectations as of
the date of this press release. Actual results may differ materially from
those projected because of a number of risks and uncertainties, including
those detailed from time to time in NuTech Digital, Inc.'s reports filed
with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Contact:
NuTech Digital, Inc.
Carmen Castillo, 818-994-3831 x10 (Investor Relations)
Carmen@nutechdvd.com
or
Redwood Consultants, LLC.
Jens Dalsgaard, 415-884-0348
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: NuTech Digital,
Inc. |
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