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Trading Alert-
Amnis Systems (OTC BB: AMNM) |
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In the
May 7th edition I set the table for today's turn around idea. Amnis
Systems popped up on my radar screen as a potential turn around candidate.
The situation brought back memories of the fun we had with Calypte Biomed
last summer when I first identified that stock as a potential turn around
candidate. Loyal readers will recall Calypte was snatched from the jaws
of bankruptcy at the 11th hour. The stock had traded down to a mere $.01.
Fresh money and new management found its way to viable technology, and
the the stock rebounded all the way to $.41 before matters took a turn
for the worse.
I have spent a lot of time evaluating
the potential of Amnis. The company has technology which is in significant
demand in today's safety conscious world, and the customer base of over
4,000 installed systems has remained extremely loyal to the company despite
nearly closing their doors in April. There can only be one reason- superior
technology. The company must have superior technology. Repeat orders continuing
flowing as was disclosed in a press release which came out late today.
When the first round of financing
was announced and a new President stepped in, the stock charged up to $.07
on twenty times normal volume. Since then, the company has been bringing
its SEC filings current, bringing employees back to work, and getting orders
filled. Today, the dreaded "E" was removed from the symbol indicating the
SEC fillings are current, and the company announced new contract flow.
In light of all the positive progress, I believe a potential turn around
is in the works, and now is the time to jump in. Here's the facts:
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Amnis
Systems- Real Time Video Streaming |
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Amnis is a pioneer in the
technology of delivering video over any kind of broad band network. In
a safety and cost conscious world, there has been an explosion of demand
for video solutions which mitigate the need for expensive, wasteful, and
dangerous travel.
Amnis is widely accepted as
having the best real-time video solution available. Applications include
remote training and class room environments, video surveillance for security
purposes, and remote robotics control.
Amnis systems power virtual
classrooms for the University of Hawaii, University of Alaska, Hughes,
Pfizer, Daimler Chrysler, and many others. In a highly publicized demonstration,
Bell
Canada provided a video network over which robotics surgery was remotely
performed by a doctor in a different location from the patient. Amnis
systems provided the real time video stream over which the surgeon was
able to perform the surgery.
Attack drones are remotely
flown using Amnis video technology where a real-time video image
in mission critical, as with remote robotics surgery. Traffic is monitored
from a remote location by the police department in the City of Suzhou,
China. There are over 4,000 Amnis systems installed world wide.
I am told Amnis has the only system with no latency, meaning the
video delivery is in real time with no jerky appearance or delay.
The "many to many"Amnis
solution proves a perfect solution for a virtual class room environment.
The University of Hawaii uses the Amnis system extensively to create
virtual class rooms throughout the Hawaiian islands. I am told the virtual
environment is akin to being in the same room. Conversations happen in
real time as if the participants were standing next to each other.
Pictured here are the components
of the Amnis network. The broadband connection can be provided in
many forms- the internet, intranets, VPNs, T1's, etc. The video quality
delivered by the Amnis technology is second to none. If you're wondering-
the word "Amnis" is latin for "Streaming".
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Amnis-
The Potential For the Stock |
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Here's the big picture on the history
of Amnis. As you can see, in early 2002 Amnis was a very
hot stock. On the heels of major contract announcements, the stock charged
from the $.50 level to a high of $1.75. The stock traded nearly 14 million
shares in one day. Investors had high hopes for the future as video streaming
was identified as a market niche with huge growth potential.
The company recently completed an
additional round of financing for $1 million. A new President has been
installed. Former management has been shown the door. Two turn around specialists
are now consulting at the company on a full time basis, laying the groundwork
for future fiscal growth and health.
Today, Amnis announced two
new contracts on the same day the "E" was removed from the symbol. Amnis
announced new systems have been purchased by the South Korean military
and an undisclosed US Federal Agency.
A more current chart helps set up
reasonable expectations for a rebound in the stock. The stock has collapsed
from the $.50 level over the past nine months. In light of new management,
new capital, new orders, and current SEC filings, I believe the stock is
entitled to recoup 50% of the losses experienced in this downtrend, especially
if new orders continue to materialize. Therefore, I believe this stock
has the potential to rebound into the $.25 range.
The annual revenue run rate of the
company is about $2 million. There are 100 million issued and outstanding,
giving the company about a $6 million valuation based on today's trading
range.
Taking into account the quality of
their technology, the installed customer base of over 4,000 systems, and
the high caliber of their clients, I believe the company has significant
growth opportunity.
Therefore, here are the parameters
for the first trade on Amnis Systems on the strength of a potential
turn around in the making:
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Buy AMNM up to $.10. Don't forget
to use a limit order.
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Target price over the next 60 days-
$.15- although there is potential for a rebound to $.25, a more moderate
price target of $.15 is set pending sales getting more traction.
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Stop Loss- $.05- A pullback is highly
unlikely, but nevertheless you have to control loss potential. For the
high risk end of your portfolio only.
Here is the complete text of today's
news release for your review:
| PR Newswire via COMTEX
New Contracts for
MPEG Video Network Systems
Jun 3, 2003 3:41:00 PM
PALO ALTO, Calif., Jun
3, 2003 /PRNewswire-FirstCall via COMTEX/ --
Amnis Systems Inc. (OTC
Bulletin Board: AMNM; Frankfurt: ANI), a global leader of networked streaming
video systems, announces two significant new contracts for the company's
high-quality MPEG video network systems.
The first contract represents
a major deployment of the Amnis Systems NAC Series for a critical training
platform for a major US Federal Agency. The second represents a groundbreaking
new deployment for Amnis Systems VS Pro Products in surveillance applications
within the South Korean military.
'Distance learning applications
have been fundamental to Amnis'eighteen year installed base,'said Scott
Mac Caughern, Amnis President and CEO. 'Amnis is also expanding its significant
US military and homeland security deployments with similar applications
for cooperative nations abroad.'
These significant contracts
add to Amnis Systems'growing installed customer base as well as evidence
a further major commitment to the company's platform for long-term mission
critical applications in world class accounts.
Diverse accounts that
use Amnis Systems for distance learning and training applications include
Walmart, DaimlerChrysler, as well as Universities in Hawaii, Munich and
Alaska and local agencies such as the Tulsa Fire Department. The US Air
Force, City of Suzhou in China, Maricopa County in Arizona, and the US
Coast Guard all deploy Amnis Systems for mission critical surveillance.
Bell Canada's state of the art robotic telemedicine procedures also employ
Amnis products.
A recently announced
$1M round of financing is earmarked for the ramp-up of production and to
complete the development of several new products to be released this year.
'The market response to our corporate roadmap -- as evidenced by the closing
of these two new customers -- is extremely encouraging,'said Mac Caughern.
'As we execute our strategy, we will continue to work with our customers
to ensure that we are meeting their present and future needs.'
About Amnis Systems Inc.
Amnis Systems Inc., which
acquired Optivision, Inc. in 2001, is the market leader in the networked
streaming video market. The company develops, manufactures and delivers
MPEG network video products for high-quality video creation, management
and distribution worldwide both directly and through leading industry partners.
Based in Palo Alto, California, Amnis products are used in diverse applications
such as such as surveillance, distance learning, content distribution,
corporate training, telemedicine, video-on-demand and high-quality video
conferencing. For more information about Amnis Systems Inc., visit http://www.amnisinc.com
or phone 1-800-239-0600.
'Safe Harbor'statement
under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995: This release
contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties,
including, but not limited to, the impact of competitive products and pricing,
product demand and market acceptance, new product development, reliance
on key strategic alliances, availability of raw materials, the regulatory
environment, fluctuations in operating results and other risks detailed
from time to time in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Our forward-looking statements are based on currently available
information which management has assessed but which is dynamic and subject
to rapid and even abrupt change due to risks and uncertainties that affect
our business, including the unpredictability of future revenues and limited
visibility into future demand on which to base our forecasts; the current
uncertainty in our marketplace which may impact expected demand, customer
selection criteria and sales cycle; our ability to execute on product deliverables
and major customer contracts, slower economic growth generally, slower
adoption of broadband technology, or cutbacks in information technology
spending; and factors beyond our control such as power outages or work
stoppages at key customers.
SOURCE Amnis Systems
Inc.
Amnis Systems Inc., 1-800-239-0600
http://www.amnisinc.com
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