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Tuesday: New China Idea Coming,
and It's Red Hot Now |
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Ok- as far as China and the
OTC
Journal are concerned, here are the facts. I love China as a
place to invest your risk/growth capital over the next five years to maximize
your returns. Recession, recovery- what ever it is in the US, everything
commerce related in China will grow a lot faster over the next five years
in China than it will in the US.
Right now I'm reading the legendary
investor Jimmy Rogers book "A Bull in China", and it has some eye
opening conclusions. Thanks to Globalization, investors like ourselves
can participate in this growth through China companies that trade on US
exchanges, and are required to disclose just like US companies.
China stocks are just starting
to break out, so we have a number of years to participate, and I intend
to keep bringing the ideas. Let's look at how I've done for you so far
on my China ideas:
|
Stock
|
Date of Rec
|
Entry Price
|
Friday's Close
|
Net Return
|
$10,000 Investment
|
Friday's Value
|
|
FXI
|
2/15
|
$25
|
$41.81
|
67%
|
$10,000
|
$16,700
|
|
UTA
|
6/1
|
$8
|
$13.88
|
73.5%
|
$10,000
|
$17,750
|
|
CGYV
|
9/13/08
|
$3.40
|
$1.40
|
-60%
|
$10,000
|
$4,000
|
|
NFES
|
6/10
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$.69
|
$1.55
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124%
|
$10,000
|
$23,250
|
|
LEGE
|
6/29
|
$.30
|
$.30
|
o%
|
$10,000
|
$10,000
|
|
Total Investment
|
|
|
|
|
$50,0000
|
$71,700
|
|
Remove CGYV
|
|
|
|
|
$40,000
|
$67,700
|
There are the facts. Here's what
the table tells you. If you had invested $10,000 in each of my China
ideas, your $50,000 would have been worth $71,700
at Friday's close. Pretty darn good when you consider 4 of 5 have come
since Februray- really since June.
Now, here's where the results can
be skewed. There was only one idea pre 2008 crash where everything totally
collapsed. If you take out that idea (CGYV), you're $40,000
has turned into $67,700 over a few months.
Taking it one step further- if you
had invested more capital based on risk level, you would have had a lot
more capital in FXI and UTA- less in the others. That might
have skewed your returns to the positive as well. You also could have bought
FXI and UTA on margin, which would have doubled your return
on cash invested. Another skewing factor- LEGE doubled in the first
week, and now is back to break even. If you had made the trade.....
China represents the largest
emerging consumer class in the history of the world, and I don't believe
Western Investors are quite grasping the shear scope of what's going on
over there.
China is transitioning from
the greatest manufacturer of cheap goods in the history of the world to
a more robust and sustainable model of growth. The country is modernizing
very rapidly, and 1.3 billion people- the majority of whom have been rural
agriarians for centuries, are transitioning rapidly to the urban, western
lifesyle.
Here's a good way to visualize the
shear scope of this boom- In the US there are 6 cities with populations
of 5 million or more. Guess how many there are in China?
I won't keep you in suspense- if you guessed 51, you're right.
Nearly 10 times the number in the US.
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Imagine If |
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Imagine if you had invested in the
gigantic US media companies in the 70's. I'm talking about the likes of
Disney, Turner Broadcasting, CBS, Time Warner, etc in the 70's, and allowed
your investments to simply grow for the next 30 years. You would have made
the kind of fortune that would allow you to retire in style.
Now- take China. There's 10
times the audience with 1/10th the content. The vast majority of citizens
have very little in the way of western style possessions, but they are
evolving to more prolific consumers. Their income levels in the urban areas
have only risen to about $4500 annually, but it's trending much higher.
Over the next 20 years China
is going to gobble up a very high percentage of the world's resources to
built out its cities, bridges, roads, internet and wireless networks, and
all the other components of a modern society.
There's a company in China
that has access to 650 million consumers through its media
outlets. It's trading at 1/10th its former valuation, and building a model
that mimics one of the most successful growth stories in the history of
US Broadcasting.
The stock has been red hot of late,
and is charging up the charts. However, I'm not worried. This is just the
very beginning of a multi year move that will have the normal ups and downs
on the way to a possible 10 fold return.
I won't give you any more hints beyond
saying stayed tuned for this new idea post close on Tuesday. I absolutely
love it, and fully expect it to meet the high return standards I'm setting
in China ideas.
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Options Media (OTC BB: OPMG)
News |
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A quick note for you followers of
Options
Media (OPMG)- on Friday after the close, Options Media announced
the development and deployment of a new software platform for their large
ESP (email service provider) clients.
The announcement in and of itself
isn't a barn burner, but I believe there could be some news concerning
who's actually using this platform, and it might be rather eye opening.
Stand by. Click
Here to read Friday's news.
Home Page : www.otcjournal.com
Email Questions or Comments To:
editor@otcjournal.com
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