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Nighthawk Systems
(OTC BB: NIHK) Teams With Verizon Wireless |
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If you are anything like me you might
love a good old fashioned penny stock idea. A stock which could go from
$.10 to $.40 with the right kind of breakthrough. Let's face it- us folks
with a gambler's mentality love the leverage you get with a 10 cent stock.
It's almost like an option that doesn't expire.
Currently, the trading levels of
OTC
Journal offerings range from $.30 (TLPE) right up to
$18
(DXCM). I've been wanting to add one very low priced idea to the 2006
menu.
NIHK came along, and brought
back fond memories of another microcap out of the past. In 2002 I owned
shares in a small company called EMobile Data. They made wireless
meter reading devices for utilities. A truck could just drive by a house
and remotely read the meter for the monthly power bill. It saved the utilities
a fortune vs having someone physically read the meter on foot.
EMobile launched a couple
of pilot projects with a utility in the Pacific Northwest, and the stock
bounced around some, mostly to the downside. About 6 months into the investment,
EMobile
was bought out in an all cash transaction by Itron (NASDAQ: ITRI).
Shares of EMobile, which had been trading around $.08, shot
up to about $.30.
When I started looking at Nighthawk,
it struck me as a next generation EMobile. Nighthawk has
developed a line of products which have the ability to remotely turn any
electrical device on or off. The switching mechanism can take many forms-
it can be done on the internet, a cell phone, a telephone line, or any
manner of wireless device. The technology runs on the same platform that
pagers run on.
NIHK introduced its first
products two years ago and had the misfortune of having business come their
way too easily. Their first big contract was with AT&T Wireless
for
2400 kiosks nationwide. AT&T Wireless used their systems to
reboot the computers in these kiosks remotely. If you look back at January
of '03, you will see the stock price shot from $.20 to $.70 in
a matter of two weeks.
The early AT&T Wireless
contract might have been the worst thing that could happened to the company.
The business came too easily and too early. In 2004 NIHK found out
they were not Kevin Costner in Field of Dreams. They built it, but the
customers didn't just come. They realized they would need a sales force
to bring in business.
In 2005 the company was revamped
and a professional sales force was hired to start bringing in the business.
The seasoned professionals they brought in identified the Utility market
as Target #1. Despite the long sales cycle, the products benefits to the
utility industry made it the most attractive initial market segment.
Here's their flagship product for
utilities. Pictured here is Nighthawk's CEO-700. This device fits
into most household utility meters. Once retrofitted in a meter, the power
can be turned on or off from a variety of different devices- through the
internet, a cell phone, a phone line, etc.
Utilities view this device as a behavior
modification tool. Surprisingly enough, utility bill delinquencies are
spread fairly evenly amongst higher and lower income neighborhoods. This
device is far more valuable to a utility when used to turn on power vs
turning off power. In the event a utility bill is delinquent, the power
company can discontinue service at its leisure. However, once the bill
is brought current, regulations require power companies to restore service
in a very limited amount of time. Often, crews work overtime hours restoring
the power at great expense to the power company. With this device, one
technician simply has to flip a proverbial switch from a remote location
to restore service.
Since bringing in a professional
sales force last year, NIHK has implemented a number of pilot projects
with a nationwide group of small to medium sized utilities and power co-ops.
In 2006 I expect a number of these
pilot projects to become major new orders. This company needs sales, and
sales will drive the stock price. Recall the AT&T Wireless deal in
2003- $.20 to $.70 in two weeks.
NIHK has a number of other
product application for its offerings. They include remote power management
of computer systems, irrigation systems, traffic controls, solar systems,
warning sirens, and satellite controls.
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Nighthawk
Partners With Verizon Wireless |
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On Thursday, January 19th, NIHK
made an announcement which I believe signals the beginning of a long cycle
of improving sales. Over the ensuing four trading days shares of NIHK
nearly quadrupled. 10.2 million shares traded in one day.
NIHK announced it had entered
into a joint marketing agreement with Verizon Wireless. Verizon
Wireless offers a whole slate of wireless products to large companies.
Utilities, with the huge number of workers in the field, are a major target
market.
Verizon Wireless's nationwide
sales force has now added the NIHK products to its offerings. Some
90 plus professionals who habitually call on large corporate clients are
out in the field showing the NIHK line.
My hope and belief is that this new
relationship will lead to significant high profile sales throughout 2006.
Sales should lead to an improving stock price and profits for those acting
today.
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Conclusion |
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As of the last SEC filing, there
were about 43 million shares Issued and Outstanding in NIHK. Trading
at roughly $.10, this would equate to a $4.3 million market valuation.
This market valuation lends itself to a lot of upside. I can see this company
being valued at $10 million to $15 million if they land one or two big
contracts.
As you can see from the chart, NIHK
has gotten off to a strong start in '06. The company announced a contract
which got the stock started, then followed up with probably the biggest
event in their corporate history- the Verizon Wireless sales relationship
news.
However, if I had put up a longer
term chart, you would see that NIHK was trading at a 2 year low
at the end of 2005. The stock has been trading down since 2003, and therefore
has plenty of upside.
The next major catalyst will no doubt
take this stock past the 2006 high of $.13. The only question- will a major
event come before the stock pulls back to about the $.08 level?
NIHK has a number of potential
major orders in the pipeline. However, in the utilities business the sales
cycle is very long, but rewarding once achieved.
I believe this little stock is a
great speculation for those looking for a lot of leverage. An initial position
in the $.10 to $.11 range is suggested. The ideal level to own this
stock would be $.08- so look to load the boat if the stock starts
drifting down on light volume. Owning this stock is a bet on big contracts
coming NIHK's way from the utility sector. With the Verizon Wireless
sales force knocking on doors for them, I like our chances. The next big
deal could come sooner than later.
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