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To
OTC Journal Members:
A quick note on yesterday's new idea-
Xinhua
Sports and Media (NASDAQ: XSEL)- today at 8PM Eastern, 5PM Pacific,
XSEL
will hold a conference call to discuss Q2 financial results which will
be released after today's close. I don't know what to expect, or how the
market will react. I could suggest any top line that indicates the company
is going to achieve greater than $100 million in annual revs will likely
be received positively by the market. Last quarter the company achieved
just under $25 million in revs and was profitable.
In order to listen to the call, dial
1
800 561 2693, passcode 27002258. A replay will be available, and
I'll have that information for you as well.
 |
NF Energy (OTC BB: NFES)
Delivers Quarterly Results- Doubles Previous Estimates |
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I'm raising my target price on NF
Energy to $3 from $2.50 in light of this morning's
quarterly numbers release. The company delivered a top line that more than
doubled May's estimate, and suggests this company has real momentum and
a lot more upside.
Forget that I first brought it to
your attention at $.69 back in June and it's up 124%
today. It's likely to go much higher in light of today's news.
Let's dive into the numbers:
Here's what the company forecast
on May 22- this is a quote from the release: "The Company expects to complete
$2.2 million, $5.6 million and $10.9 million in Q2, Q3 and Q4 of this year
respectively."
So, in Q2, NFES expected to
deliver $2.2 million. The numbers came out this morning- they delivered
$5.22 million- a 137% gain above the previously forecast
top line.
One can only wonder what this might
mean for the next two quarters which were to be $5.6 million
and $10.9 million. Where will they fall? If those quarters
simply fall in line with the forecast, NFES will deliver about $24
million in revenues this year- which would put the company up 72%
ahead of last year's pace.
On the profit front, the company
delivered $1.16 million in profits- $.03 per share.
Suggests somewhere in the neighborhood of $.18 for the year
if it continues to be as back end loaded as previously announced.
$3 really seems like a fairly
low target if this company were to be valued based on traditional US company
growth valuations. Let's say we enjoy a 70% growth rate this
year- the old rule of thumb is the PE ratio is 50% of growth rate. Stock
price- $5.40. That's another 250% higher than
today's price.
Here's one issue I dug out of the
10Q the company hasn't spoken about too much. There's $11 million in cash
and receivables. Only $2.7 million in payables and zero long term debt.
There's also an investment of $6.3
million for "construction in progress"- this is the money they have
invested to build their new plant. This plant will be focused on building
components for wind turbines- the company is experiencing huge demand it
can't fill until the new facility is completed.
They have great margins, strong profits,
a strong balance sheet, and huge growth in the back half of the year. This
one is just getting started.
This stock is now in a sideways extension
pattern as it digests its gains from the last two months. However, in light
of today's rather robust financial performance, I would expect this sideways
extension won't last too long. Sooner or later, if the company continues
to deliver solid corporate performance, the next leg up will begin.
You have an opportunity to accumulate
this stock while it extends sideways. I would say anything below $1.75
still offers plenty of upside in light of NFES's substantial growth,
profitability, and super strong balance sheet.
Here's the complete text of today's
news:
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NF Energy Saving
Corporation Reports Record Second Quarter Results
Revenues More Than Double Previously
Announced Guidance - Company Reports Record First Half 2009 Revenues and
Net Income -
SHENYANG, China, Aug.
12 /PRNewswire-Asia/ -- NF Energy Saving Corporation of America (OTC Bulletin
Board: NFES; "NFES"), a Chinese leader in energy efficient flow control
systems, reported financial results for its second quarter ended June 30,
2009.
On May 22, 2009, NF Energy
reported a backlog of $35.9 million, and estimated $2.2 million would be
completed in Q2 '09.
NF Energy's revenues
for Q2 exceeded the forecast by 137%, with revenues coming in at $5.22
million. As a result of the Chinese stimulus package and the focus on energy
saving technology, NF Energy is experiencing greater growth than previously
anticipated.
Second
Quarter 2009 Highlights:
--
Revenues increased to $5.22 million and $7.64 million for the three and
six months ended June 30, 2009 respectively.
--
Gross profit increased to $1.52 million, up 22% from $1.25 million for
the same period last year.
--
Net income was $1.16 million, or $0.03 per fully diluted share, up 9%
from $1.06 million for the same period in last year, excluding a non-
cash compensation expense. Net income pre tax including non-cash
expenses was $1.34 million.
Second Quarter 2009 Results
Revenues were $5.22 million
and $7.64 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2009, respectively,
as compared to $4.30 million and $7.16 million for the corresponding periods
in 2008. Total revenues increased by $0.92 million and $0.48 million, a
21% and 7% increase, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2009,
as compared to total revenues for the three and six months ended June 30,
2008.
Sequentially, revenues
were up 116% over Q1 of 2009. The overall gross profit for the Company
was $1.52 million and $2.20 million, or 22% and 10%, for the three and
six months ended June 30, 2009 respectively. Profit margin increased by
$0.1 million to $1.16 million for the three months ended June 30, 2009,
excluding a non-cash compensation expense compared to the corresponding
three month period in 2008.
"We are very pleased
with this quarter's continued strong financial performance," said Mr. Gang
Li, President & CEO of NF Energy Saving Corporation. "We continue to
announce key strategic initiatives and contract wins which will secure
our future growth. Our business continues to accelerate as we enter the
second half of 2009. In particular, we are seeing strong demand for our
wind products. Overall, our energy-saving control products are becoming
more widely utilized throughout various projects in China. Our efforts
are complimented by the actions of the Chinese government's successful
stimulus program."
Six Month Results
For the six months ended
June 30, 2009, total operating revenues were $7.64 million, up 7% from
$7.16 million from the same period last year. Gross profit was $2.20 million,
up 10% from the same period 2008. Gross margin increased by $0.20 million
to $2.20 million for the six months ended June 30, 2009.
At the end of the second
quarter 2009 the Company had $11 million in cash receivables, $2.7 million
in payables, and no long term debt. NF Energy is investing in a new facility
to meet the growing demand for its proprietary wind turbine components.
NF Energy anticipates
issuing updated guidance in the near future to reflect under estimated
growing demand for its products and services.
About NF Energy Saving
Corporation
Website: http://www.nfenergy.com
NF Energy Saving Corporation
(OTCBB: NFES - News) is a China-based provider of integrated energy conservation
solutions utilizing energy-saving equipment, technical services and energy
management re-engineering project operations to provide energy saving services
to clients. Headquartered in Shenyang city of China, the Company currently
has 220 employees and several proprietary energy saving technologies and
patents.
Safe Harbor Statement
This press release contains
certain statements that may include 'forward-looking statements' as defined
in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements are often identified by the use of forward-looking terminology
such as "believes, expects, anticipate, optimistic, intend, will" or similar
expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown
risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to be materially
different from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated
or expected. Investors should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. The
Company's actual results could differ materially from those anticipated
in these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors,
including those discussed in the Company's periodic reports that are filed
with and available from the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking
statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf
are expressly qualified in their entirety by these factors. Other than
as required under the securities laws, the Company does not assume a duty
to update these forward-looking statements. |
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