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To
OTC Journal Members:
You may take the most
gallant sailor, the most intrepid ariman, or the most audacious soldier,
put them at a table together- what do you get?
The Sum of Their Fears
Winston Churchill |
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Market Comment-
Confidence Crises Takes Fear Level to New All Time High |
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Samuel Waksel, former CEO of Immclone
(NASDAQ: IMCL) was hauled off the jail today by the FBI for alleged
insider trading violations. According to the charges, Mr. Waksel was said
to have advised two undisclosed to parties to sell their shares of Immclone
just prior to the announcement that the FDA would deny approval of their
cancer drug, which resulted in the stock being decimated. Click
Here to read the details.
Despite nine consecutive months of
improving economic indicators and earnings reports for the first quarter
that weren't all that bad, this is the kind of news dominating the main
stream investment media everyday.
Negative news used to be a buying
opportunity for growth companies, and good news took stocks higher. In
today's environment, good news and positive corporate developments are
viewed as selling opportunities, and bad news yields lower prices. Momentum
to the downside in this unparalleled climate of fear is the norm, and short
sellers are in complete control of the markets.
Winston Churchill understood
the mentality. Take two captains of industry and two Wall Street powerhouses,
put them at the same table, and the discussion will turn to the negatives
which dominate our psyche today.
In the words of the late Franklin
Roosevelt; "We have nothing to fear but fear itself". The
public is demanding aggressive behavior from the regulators, and they are
delivering. If you think Sam Waksel is the first CEO to whisper sell advise,
you are sadly mistaken. He just got caught in a regulatory climate where
the public and the media are demanding heads in payment for all the money
we lost in this bear market. Just like everyone who drives home from the
party after drinking too much, he's the one who got arrested for a DUI
because he wrecked his car (in this case, his company).
However, clear headed investors who
can filter out the noise should take comfort in the words of the late Franklin
Roosevelt: "We have nothing to fear but fear itself"
Take a look at each of the stocks
you own, and remember why you bought them in the first place. If nothing
has changed, don't sell because prices are going down. If fact, if the
reasons you bought in the first place are still intact, buy more if you
can afford the risk.
The American free enterprise system
is not collapsing from the excesses of the last Bull market which are now
coming to light. We may try to trade lower in the short term, but in the
coming days, months, and years, investors will wonder why the couldn't
see the value when Fear ruled the day.
Here is some news from a couple of
the companies we have been reporting on recently:
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XML
Global Technologies (OTC BB: XMLG) |
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Yesterday XML Global reported
it has hired new management. John McAughtry has assumed the role of President,
and is assigned the task of marketing the XML software this company has
spent millions of dollars developing over the last four years.
According to the press release, Mr.
McAughtry spent the first ten years of his career in sales at IBM. He has
devoted the last twenty years to launches of smaller software companies,
many of which were eventually bought out.
Those who have been following this
story know the company needs capital to survive. There has been no public
disclosure concerning any new financing, but one has to wonder why a seasoned
pro would take the reigns of this struggling software company if a rescue
strategy were not in place.
The stock has dropped into the $.15
range, a new all time low. Stand by for further updates, we don't believe
this company is dead, but the market is pricing the stock as if it already
was. Click Here
to read the full text of yesterday's press release.
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Calypte
Biomed (OTC BB: CALY) |
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We introduced you to this company
on May 31st at $.138. We found the company intriguing because they have
the only urine based HIV test in the world.
The company announced it was closing
its doors several months ago, but new management came in, raised capital,
and put the company back on track. Our short term price target was $.20,
and so far it has only gotten as high as $.174. Stand by for further progress.
Yesterday the company announced it
had acquired the rights to market a urine based test for liver function
from a Japanese company which does nearly $100 million in annual sales.
Since urine tests are considerably
less expensive than blood tests, and Calypte is already marketing
its urine based HIV tests to many large life insurance companies throughout
the US, this marketing agreement makes perfect sense and should enhance
Calpyte's
sales going forward. Click
Here to read the entire text of the press release.
This weekend- we will
try to bring you an update on Cross Media Marketing (AMEX: XMM)
which has dropped 25% in the last four days for no evident reason we know
of.
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