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Legend Media (LEGE), one of
my old followings, appears to be a hot China penny stock that wants to
come up off the canvas. Before I get into that news, here's some thoughts
on red hot Beacon Enterprises (BEAC)- another giant win for OTC
Journal subscribers.
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Beacon Enterprises (OTC BB:
BEAC): I Love It When A Plan Comes Together |
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This is the way it is supposed to
work. You learn about a company with upside. You take the risk of investing
in the stock. You have trailing developments (i.e. whopping new contracts),
and you take a position after having decided someone might want to buy
the stock from you at a higher price in the future.
Then 4 months later- bang- the company
delivers the strongest quarter in its history, lands another big contract,
buyers overwhelm sellers, and OTC Journal subscribers who liked
this idea, and acted early, enjoyed a net return of 63% on
their invested capital if they acted when I first introduced the company.
I love it when a plan comes together.
So, where to from here? My price
target on this stock has been, and continues to be $2 in the near
term. Multi year investors might be looking at much higher returns. After
the recent run up in the stock price, I would expect some sort of backing
and filling. The break through $1.35 takes a lot of upside
resistance off the table, and now the stock just needs to wrestle with
profit takers as new potential investors start to look at this compelling
story.
Last week the company recapped their
earlier conference call, stated they expected to deliver about $11
million in Q2 Revs ($1 million more than all of last year), and
hired a world class CFO.
Seems to me there's still plenty
of upside ahead here. I anticipate more new contract signings as the catalyst
for higher levels. If you've taken a short term profit, great. You might
want to re invest the capital if it pulls back. If you're looking for something
more robust and longer term (long term capital gains- give less of your
money to Uncle Sam), this one just might fit the bill.
In a perfect world they would all
work this way. Unfortunately, the world's not quite perfect, but every
now and then we get to witness perfection.
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Legend Media: Coming Up Off
the Canvas |
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This is not a new idea for me- It's
a reincarnated idea. Sometimes companies simply need to go through some
changes to get on track, and I believe Legend Media has morphed
into a penny stock with some real upside right now.
It's China, and you know I love China.
It's media, and media is exploding in China as growing businesses need
to market to the largest emerging consumer class in the history of Planet
Earth. The company has dealt with some growth issues, and is meeting the
challenges.
Legend Media is in radio,
with a slight tweak from a North American business model for radio. We're
used to a model where the company owns the radio station, creates the programming,
and sells advertising to generate a profit.
In China, most of the radio stations
are owned by the Government, and the programming is a bit bland compared
to what we're used to. However, as with anything government related, the
operators tend towards the minimum effort, and there's no incentive to
hustle advertising sales.
Enter LEGE. In a land grab,
they have gone into government owned stations, and bought up their advertising
inventory for pennies on the dollar. The company then turns around and
sells the advertising minutes with very substantial mark ups.
So, as long as they are selling advertising,
they might as well add some other outlets. The company also owns the advertising
space in many airline magazines. They're on 11 airlines and in 13 airports.
250,000 magazine volumes are published monthly getting to 60 million readers.
In China, the focus has been
on flat panel displays and online advertising. Radio has been largely overlooked.
Advertisers are starting to gravitate towards radio and airline. The reasoning-
simple. There's a small percentage of affluent consumers of the 1.3 billion
Chinese.
Advertisers want to focus on their
demographic. In China, the demographic is consumers with disposable income.
Where are the advertisers going to find these consumers? Common sense-
if you're flying in a plane, you're likely to have money. If you're driving
a car, you are likely to have money.
Walking past a flat panel display
doesn't mean you have money and more than seeing an online ad. The odds
are greater you will have spend able money if you are flying in a plane
or driving a car. Hence- airline magazines and car radios provide a better
demographic.
However, these mediums have been
a bit overlooked by advertisers, but the demand is now finally beginning
to surface. Radio and airline is simply more cost effective, the first
signs of recognition are poking up through the soil.
Evidence of this shift can be found
in Legend's news release which just hit the tape. The company announced
it landed a radio advertising contract for Agile Property Holdings, and
Hong Kong based gigantic property management firm. Legend will be providing
advertising time for Agile's Clear Water Bay Project- a coastal resort
with 3 18 hole golf courses, 5 star hotels, and a yacht club.
The contract, valued at just over
$300k
US, is representative of the kind of advertisers looking for a
better demographic and more cost effective use of their advertising dollars.
In their last quarterly filing, LEGE
started to show signs of a rebirth after several quarters of refocusing.
Hence, despite having introduced this company last summer and starting
out with a bang, I've been waiting for them to get their house in order
to really get engaged.
You should note I haven't written
about this company since the end of June, and if you're a trader, it was
certainly a nice short term ride. The stock traded huge volume over a couple
of days, and ran from $.20 to $.55, only to do a quick round
trip as it became evident LEGE needed to get its house in order.
A quick look at the recent quarterly
filing for the end of December reveals LEGE has returned to the
growth that was expected early on. It's just beginning, which is why I
like the stock now.
The top line for the quarter was
$2.76 million, up from $2.65 million the same quarter in '08. That's only
about 5% growth, but it's just the beginning. It's a pre profit company,
and losses reported at $1 million. However, I can identify at least $750k
of the loss that was non-cash, so their burn rate is down to nearly zero.
In addition and probably more importantly,
their gross margins improved from 57% to 71%, demonstrating
the company has tweaked its business model to make more money off the same
revenues.
The company is currently delivering
about $11 million in annual revenues, and the market is valuing
the company at $28 million. If the company can start delivering
top line growth along with this rather eye opening margin improvement,
I would expect continued upside opportunity- perhaps into the $.50
range. Ideally, you want to pay about $.25.
Here is what I hope will be the beginning
of a series of news releases on this idea. If you would like to review
the video we originally did on the company, just go to www.otcjournal.com
and it will play. Jeff Dash, who is featured in the video, is no longer
with the company:
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Legend Media's
Subsidiary Enters Into an Advertising Contract with Agile Property Holdings
Limited for RMB 2,118,600 (US$310,190)
BEIJING, Feb. 22 /PRNewswire-Asia/
-- Legend Media (OTC Bulletin Board:LEGE.ob - News) ("Legend Media" or
"the Company"), a Chinese multi-media advertising company, today announced
that its subsidiary, Beijing Yin Se Ling Dong Advertising Co., Ltd., has
signed an advertising contract with Agile Property Holdings Limited in
the amount of RMB 2,118,600 (approximately US $310,190 based on the exchange
rate as of the date of this press release) for its Clear Water Bay Project.
Agile Property Holdings
Limited (HKG: 3383) is a Hong Kong-listed company, primarily engaged in
property development and operation, with extensive involvement in property
management and decoration services. Agile is a nationally renowned brand
and is one of the few property developers that are constituents of the
Morgan Stanley Capital International China Index, the Hang Seng Composite
Index, and the Hang Seng Freefloat Composite Index. The Clear Water Bay
Project is a leading project of Agile Property Holdings Limited and ranks
among the key projects of Hai'nan province's eleventh five-year plan. It
covers an area of 10 million square meters and offers an enjoyable coastal
resort complex with three 18-hole golf courses, six 5-star hotels, hot
spring spa, yacht club, and other exotic experience.
Mr. Ju Baochun, Chief
Executive Officer and Director of Legend Media, commented, "We are extremely
pleased to enter into a contract with the highly, regarded Agile Property
Holdings brand. With this partnership, Legend and Agile will together strategically
market and advertise the Clear Water Bay Project successfully. We look
forward to utilizing our resources and bringing a value-added, promotional
advertising service to Agile now and in the future."
About Legend Media
Website: http://www.legend-media.com
Legend Media, Inc. (OTCBB:LEGE.ob
- News), headquartered in Beijing, is a leading China advertising company
focused on selling advertising that reaches affluent consumers in China
through major airline magazines and radio channels in key districts of
China. The Company currently owns an exclusive sales agent contract for
Expression, the airline magazine for Hainan Airlines Group (HNA Group).
With the execution of the policy of building Hainan into an International
Tourist Island, there will be more business opportunities for the airline
magazine. What's more, the airline magazine is distributed to a network
of the subsidiary hotels of HNA Group, which enables the airline magazine
to reach 20 million direct readers and cover 30 million to 40 million readers
indirectly per year.
Aside from the main business,
Legend Media owns two radio stations in Tianjin and Xi'an. The execution
of the policy of developing the Ring Bohai Economic Circle brings Tianjin
opportunities to further develop, enabling radio media to have great growth
potential. Xi'an is an old city in China and with the development of Xi'an
economy, the radio business of Xi'an will have new business opportunities.
Legend Media will continue
to develop a sales network and strive to cover and eventually reach the
most valuable direct advertisers in China and expand the sales business
of the Company through the acquisition of new and good-quality media.
Safe Harbor Statement
This press release contains
certain statements that may include 'forward-looking statements' as defined
in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements are often identified by the use of forward-looking terminology
such as "believes, expects, anticipate, optimistic, intend, will" or similar
expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown
risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to be materially
different from those described herein as anticipated, believed, estimated
or expected. Investors should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking
statements, which speak only as of the date of this press release. The
Company's actual results could differ materially from those anticipated
in these forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors,
including those discussed in the Company's periodic reports that are filed
with and available from the Securities and Exchange Commission. All forward-looking
statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf
are expressly qualified in their entirety by these factors. Other than
as required under the securities laws, the Company does not assume a duty
to update these forward-looking statements.
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Home Page : www.otcjournal.com
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