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Legend Media (OTC BB: LEGE)
Dishes Up More New Business |
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For you penny stock lovers- Legend
is dishing as I predicted, and really starting to get some momentum on
the advertising sales side. Today, post close, LEGE dished up another
really impressive new contract signing for a company delivering in the
$8 million to $10 million in annual revs.
The Sanya Luhuitou Tourism Area Development
Co. decided to dish up $400,000 in advertising contracts
to Legend Media. This area is undergoing development that will include
sea-view apartments, landscape villas, an intercontinental hotel and a
shopping mall. Click
Here to read the press release.
This new contract further reinforces
my thesis on Legend Media. Radio and Airline Magazine are
the best mediums to laser target higher net worth consumers in China as
the more affluent will be driving cars and flying in planes.
Now, here's the really exciting news.
You might not be seeing it as I wasn't, but the stock has come back down
to the entry level I suggested, so if if like LEGE, it's finally
time to snag a position.
As I write today's edition, the stock
is actually bid $.235, offered the $.25 limit I suggested
as the highest level I would pick up the stock. Despite being a fully reporting
BB stock, the only place you would see the quote is the pink sheets for
the reasons I covered last week. In fact, if you want to go straight to
the real market- here's a link: Click
Here.
I believe investors with the patience
of 6 to 12 months might be in for an easy double from the current level.
If you had the patience to wait for my $.25 level to materialize, you were
rewarded with a lower risk entry point.
I strongly suggest using a limit
order of $.25 or less on LEGE.
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China Recycling (OTC BB:
CREG) and China Education (NYSE: CEU) File Year End Numbers |
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Both CREG and CEU were out
with year end numbers today, and both companies are absurdly undervalued
in my view. However, if you believe as I do that the market loves growth,
CREG
won the growth race vs CEU, and the market is responding accordingly.
Here's a quick review. CREG
delivered whopping growth and huge margins. Revenue for the year was $38.2
million, up 377% over the $8 million in '08. Profits rose to $9.8
million (.26 in EPS), up from a loss of $2.2 million. Bottom line profits
were an impressive 25% of revenue.
The current analysts estimates have
CREG
delivering $90 million in CY '10, which is why I love this
stock. This should be another 100% growth year, and if the margins hold,
the company could make $25 million this year. Wow!!!
CEU is a bit of a different
story, and the market is selling this one off 5% on today's news. China
Education Alliance (CEU on NYSE) delivered a top line of $37 million,
up 49% over their revs in '08. Profits of $15.21 million
were notched, up 52% over '08.
The market probably didn't love the
4th quarter numbers, which showed a slowing growth rate to 14%. I believe
the market was a little disappointed in the Q4 product mix. Their revenues
come from 3 areas- physical classrooms, online classrooms, and advertising
revenues- a very small component of sales.
There was no Q4 growth in online
sales- all the growth came from class room sales, which is their lower
margin business. I'm sure the market would like to see the company focus
its growth strategies on the higher margin business.
However, CEU's balance sheet
is very impressive. The company had $60 million in cash against
about $1 million in payables. That equates to nearly $2
per share in cash.
So, if you own this stock in the
$5.75
range, you have $2 per share in cash and virtually
no debt. I still believe this is a $10 stock. However, if
the growth rate continues to slow, it won't get there. More likely their
growth rate will go back up as the company starts investing some of its
capital in expansion and possibly acquisitions.
As a result of today's news, I'm
changing the order of my top picks to own as follows. Here are my new top
four in order of my view of upside in the next 6 months:
-
China Recycling (OTC BB: CREG)
-
NF Energy (OTC BB: NFEC)
-
Biostar Pharma (OTC BB: BSPM)
-
China Education Alliance (NYSE: CEU)
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Spicy Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL):
2009 Results Suggest Step #1 Is Completed- Now On To Next Step |
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Spicy Pickle (OTC BB: SPKL)
joined the earnings parade yesterday with the annual audited numbers. The
company delivered just over $4 million in revs, which was down a couple
of percent from 2008, and reduced losses quite dramatically.
Losses in '08 were almost $6 million
of $.12 in negative EPS. In '09, SPKL pared its losses to $2.7 million
or $.04 on negative EPS- a major turn in the right direction.
The lower revs are actually not bad
when one takes two factors into consideration. First, the company sold
one of its company stores to a franchisee. SPKL then loses the revenues,
but gains the cash and the royalties. This, along with a number of recession
related store closings, makes a small top line reduction seem pretty good.
The greatly reduced losses are a
very good sign. The company did what it had to do in the recession. The
lack of capital available to small businesses to fuel expansion hurt this
particular company worse than most.
Cost cutting is great, but it only
works once. Top line growth then has to come back, and it should materialize
this year. Existing stores are stable, new stores are coming on line, and
growth is returning slowly but surely.
Here's the really good news. Any
bad news you could glean out of the 10k filing is already priced into the
stock. I believe there is a lot of upside from here, and I expect developments
over the next several months to make me look right. I still own a boatload
of this stock, and believe in the long term future of the company.
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Quick Note on Beacon Enterprise
(OTC BB: BEAC) |
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Last week Beacon announced
an ambitious plan to get its warrant holders to convert their warrants
into stock, or surrender them. They reduced the exercise price but changed
the conditions.
This move is in response to suggestions
from large institutional potential shareholders who felt the capitalization
structure needed "cleaning up". The result was a pull back in the stock
on some rather high volume days.
While short term this is a negative
technically for the stock, longer term it's a huge positive for potential
upside appreciation. The market will wrestle with a little short term supply,
but it will get cleaned up.
I believe this is a great buying
opportunity.
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