Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
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Special
Announcement |
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Our previously announced new profile,
planned for release this weekend, could be delayed for one week. There
are two reasons: When we announced the timing of the release, we did not
realize it was a holiday weekend with the market closed on Monday. In addition,
the stock we plan to feature is trading at an all time high. In this market,
there is no reason to buy any stock at an all time high, so we have decided
to wait a week to launch the feature in the hopes the stock will pull back.
More in the weekend edition.
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Irvine Sensors
(NASDAQ: IRSN)- Stock Begins Rebound Phase on Earnings Release |
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Oversold Irvine Sensors began
a rebound phase yesterday as December quarterly financial results were
released, and investors realized the stock was trading at bargain basement
levels. After reviewing the results, buyers jumped in, driving the stock
up 15% during Tuesday's trading session.
The simple support/resistance lines
in the chart depicted in red suggest the stock is entitled to bounce back
into the $1.70 range, but could trade higher if management
hosts an upbeat conference call on Thursday. Other possible positives for
the stock price could be new defense related contracts, new chip stacking
contracts, or a resolution to the Iraqi situation.
For the December quarter, Irvine
Sensors announced revenues of $5.2 million, a 108% increase
over the $2.5 million in revenues booked in the same quarter the previous
year. Net loss for the 2003 first fiscal quarter was $693,700, a reduction
of approximately $1.5 million or 69% from the $2.2 million loss in the
December quarter one year ago.
More importantly, actual cash losses
from operations were trimmed to a mere $177,500 for the quarter (about
$.023 per share), suggesting that a slight increase in future revenues
could take the company to cash flow positive.
While revenues continue at 20 year
record high levels, the stock is trading at the lowest levels in 10 years,
and we believe it is still very undervalued.
The December quarter is seasonally
the weakest for the Irvine Sensors. The company booked $6.6 million
in revenues in the September quarter, also an all time company record.
Based on results through the six
month period, one can easily assume the company will achieve somewhere
in the $23 to $26 million range in annual revenues. In addition, the company
has nearly achieved break even, so shareholders can reasonably expect minimal
losses.
We believe at its current rate,
the stock is entitled to trade at a conservative one time sales, equating
to a market capitalization of about $24 million. Properly reflected in
the stock, this would put the shares at $3.20, 213% above yesterday's
closing price.
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Conference
Call Thursday at 4:15 EST, 1:15 Pacific |
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For the first time in several years,
Irvine
Sensors has elected to host a conference call just after the market
closes tomorrow. This is a milestone, as it demonstrates the company is
starting the process of opening the lines of communication with shareholders,
money managers, and the rest of the investment community. After a couple
of very tough years, investors can assume management is confident about
the future.
We strongly recommend you take the
time to listen to the conference call. It will be web cast over the internet,
and a replay will be available after the call is complete. Simply click
here to visit the web page from which you can hear the call. Alternatively,
visit the company's home page at www.irvine-sensors.com
and click on the link available there.
We continue to believe this stock
represents an exciting opportunity for the speculative end of your portfolio.
The company is experiencing the best revenue stream in its 20 year history
as a public company. More importantly, their proprietary and patented chip
stacking technology is now powering high tech military and home land security
related applications.
Since last May, Irvine Sensors
has been the "prime contractor" for the Defense Advanced Research Projects
Agency (DARPA) for the Department of Defense. Northrup Gurmman, Sarnoff
Corp, and Arete Associates are sub contractors.
Irvine Sensors disclosed the
development contract would eventually equate to $9.6 million in revenues,
and field testing was scheduled to be completed by May of 2003.
If this development contract converts
to a long term order for field deployment, watch for Irvine Sensors
stock to blow off the charts. In either case, it is definitely worth an
investment of your time to listen to a conference call. It they hit with
the Department of Defense, investors could make susbstanatial returns coming
off an anemic $11.25 million market capitalization.
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