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Field Point Petroleum (AMEX:
FPP): Little Company; Really Big Drill |
|
What if I told you today's new idea
was a $3.25 stock on the AMEX, and delivering $850
million in annual revenues with $230 million in net income? Sounds
a bit unlikely- does it not? In a sense, it's true.
The
company I'm referencing is Concho Resources (NYSE: CXO)- A stock
that has run from $40 to $75 this year alone. How's this stock behaving
so well? They just drill baby drill, and they have boatloads of cash to
do it with. No- it's not a $3.25 stock on the AMEX- it's
a $77 stock on NYSE. Do you want to own CXO at $77, or FPP
at $3.25? Here's the story- you be the judge.
This story is kind of like the biotech/pharmaceutical
industry. There are dozens of biotech companies out their trying to develop
the next big thing- a cure for Cancer, a new therapy for obesity- you name
it. They are trying to find it.
The behemoth pharmas have become
marketing companies. They take a latter stage therapy, buy into it or just
buy the company, then finish the last commercial steps. Want to make a
lot of money in this sector? Own shares of the company they target.
Today's
oil and gas industry is very similar. Behemoths like CXO get in
bed with smaller, more nimble and resourceful exploration companies, then
take their discoveries into the final stage of production. That's the story
here.
CXO is extremely active in
New Mexico's Permian Basin. Enter Field Point Petroleum (AMEX: FPP).
Not exactly a behemoth, but a respectable small oil and gas exploration
and production company with growth and profits. FPP has doubled
its size in the last year, and is likely onto something that will double
it in size again.
Here's a map of the Permian Basin
along the New Mexico/Texas border. 49 wells were drilled in this area in
2009- 36 of them became big producers. Hence, the CXO price chart.
Cause and effect. It is estimated 130 wells are being drilled in Bone
Spring in 2010- 100 of which are expected to be big producers.
Smack dab in the middle of the Permian
Basin is the Bone Spring Formation- On a recent investor road show
in NY, the CEO of CXO was extremely bullish on the prospects for
the Bone Spring. 21 years ago drilling was abandoned in this area. The
new horizontal drilling techniques have opened up vast new resources, and
Bone Spring is smack dab in the middle of the most prolific sector.
FieldPoint found the Bone
Spring property, and just like in the biotech/pharma industry, got
a major player to buy into the data. And..... Despite having the deepest
pockets and the biggest drill bits, CXO is a minority partner to
FPP
in the deal.
Just this past week, FPP wrote
a $1 million check to CXO as their part of the initial drilling
costs. FPP has a 43.75% ownership in the oil- CXO only has 37.5%,
with the remaining 18.75% in the hands of other partners.
Within a few miles of the site, there
are other wells producing 400 to 800 barrels per day. If either well delivers
those kinds of numbers, the revenues would translate to about $15 million
annually, which would translate into $6.5 million for FPP. FPP
would nearly double in size.
So, now when do they Drill Baby
Drill? CXO called for the contribution from its partners this
past week. FPP sent in their money. The drilling will start any
day now.
Now,
it's back to class. Investing in oil drilling 101- What did we learn in
yesterday's class? Own the stock before the drilling starts. Sell some
or all when the drilling starts and everyone wants to buy the "mystery".
I believe we just had a real life example with Eagleford (OTC BB: EFRDF).
That's was 50% on your money, and that company didn't have any revenues
or trailing profits. FPP has already notched $.14 in EPS this year
on their existing producing properties.
FPP's share price has a history
of behaving well into events like this. Look at this spikes in 2005 and
2008- the stock ran to $10 and $8 respectively. Those spikes
all occurred around major drilling events for the company.
You have the pole position on this
one. The entire oil and gas world follows CXO. Funds will flow to
the junior that has found their next big discovery- FPP-,
and you need to get in today before the rest of the market figures it out.
As I stated, oftentimes you end up
taking a profit before the drilling results are in. Own on Mystery, Take
Profits on History. We'll be ringing this one up.
Oh- did I forget to mention this?
FPP
has been buying back its shares in the open market- Always a good
sign.
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Email Questions or Comments To:
editor@otcjournal.com
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