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July
21, 2004 |
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Volume
V, Issue 69 |
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Family Room
(OTC BB: FMLY) Going Debt Free: Sets The Table for Profits |
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I haven't written any editions on
Family
Room recently, so today's post close news release is providing an opportunity
to bring everyone up to date.
This is the only company I am continuing
to cover which didn't provide any significant move up in the March 2003
to March 2004 bull run. Nevertheless, I continue to be compelled by the
upside potential if and when the company ever produces a big movie hit.
It looks like 2004 will be their first profitable year just from production
fees, which greatly reduces the downside risk.
Today, just after the market closed,
Family
Room announced it will eradicate all debt from its balance sheet in
August (about $400,000). There are two pending revenue events for the company:
Production kicks off on Submerged starring
Steven Seagal,
and they receive a one time, no cost fee from Dimension Films when they
begin filming the remake of Amityville Horror.
As the company has stated in past
press releases, they expect to operate cash flow positive in fiscal 2005,
which began this past July 1st. In fact, in discussions with management,
I have learned they anticipate Family Room will produce 10 movies
in fiscal 2005. Three have already been signed which go into production
before the end of the calendar year. Two are scheduled for early next year.
Therefore, they are already half way to their goal.
Proceeds from the August revenues
will be used to eradicate all long term debt. This move doesn't really
do anything for the upside potential. However, it definitely mitigates
the downside risk.
If there is no debt, there is no
interest expense. If they operate cash flow positive from operations and
have no debt, they can be around for a very long time without raising any
additional capital. The fallout from the equity capital they raised in
2003 is what has killed the stock performance in 2004.
The movie Edison, starring
Justin
Timberlake, Morgan Freeman, Kevin Spacey, and LL Cool J, is now in
post production. The early viewings are generating some real excitement,
and Family Room is fairly confident the film will be picked up by
a major studio for distribution.
I have been doing some homework on
the technical side. As I have written in a number of past editions, the
excess supply of stock, providing by last year's toxic financing, has damaged
the upside potential for all of 2004. In short, I think the bad guys are
down to their last few shares.
I believe the market is very close
to absorbing this significant overhang, which could lead to higher levels
in the near future. Note on the chart that volume has dried up considerably
over the past several weeks. Recently, some of the companies I follow have
bounced off very oversold conditions (i.e. AMW, NWIS, VTSI, and
HYPD).
Family
Room could be getting ready to join the party. After all, the company
feels it is in a position to generate profits off production fees alone
in fiscal 2005. If they have a big hit, look out above.
Here is the complete text of today's
news release for your review:
| Wednesday, July 21, 2004 @ 4:00pm
(Pacific)
Family Room Pushes Up Debt Free
Projections
Wednesday, July 21, 2004, Los Angeles,
CA: Emmett/Furla Films, a wholly owned subsidiary of Family Room Entertainment
Corporation (NASDAQ OTC BB: FMLY), is pleased to announce that it anticipates
being debt free by August 15, 2004. Family Room had originally planned
to have all corporate debt removed from the corporate balance sheet by
December 31, 2004. However, in light of the income that is projected for
the first quarter of Fiscal 2005, Family Room anticipates being able pay
off all corporate debt-to zero.
The announcement is based, in part,
on the income from two forthcoming projects AMITYVILLE and SUBMERGED. AMITYVILLE
is slated to begin filming on August 2, 2004, which will trigger payment
to Emmett/Furla Films (Emmett/Furla Films has already been guaranteed this
payment by means of being “pay-or-play”). SUBMERGED is also scheduled to
begin principal photography on August 2, 2004 and thus, payment will also
begin in connection with this project.
Family Room Entertainment Corporation,
with its subsidiaries, Emmett Furla Films Productions, Emmett Furla Films
Distribution and EFF Independent, is a publicly held company trading on
the NASDAQ Bulletin Board under the symbol “FMLY”. Family Room Entertainment
develops, produces and performs production related services for the entertainment
industry. Family Room Entertainment’s aim is to create and produce high
quality motion pictures with high profile talent that can be distributed
to a worldwide audience. FMLY derives its income from producer fees, consulting
and service fees as well as its participation in the profits of the various
pictures it produces.
The FMLY co-founders, Randall Emmett
and George Furla, believe that they have the expertise and contacts within
the entertainment industry, specifically in the competitive production
and distribution arenas, to profitably acquire content, package product
by adding value to the content with top quality talent and produce motion
pictures which are in the moderate to higher level budgets, which can be
distributed to a mass worldwide audience. However, there is no assurance
that any motion picture, which has not yet been released, will be released,
that a change in the scheduled release dates of any such films will not
occur or, if such motion picture is released, it will be successful.
Forward Looking Statement:
Safe Harbor: Statements contained
in this news release, which is not historical facts, are forward-looking
statements as that are defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties,
which could cause results to differ materially from those, projected
This news release contains forward-looking
statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act of 1995 (the "ACT"). In particular, when used in the preceding discussion,
the words "plan," "confident that," "believe," "expect," "intend to" and
similar conditional expressions are intended to identify forward- looking
statements within the meaning of the ACT and are subject to risks and uncertainties,
and actual results could differ materially from those expressed in any
forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are
not limited to, market conditions, competitive factors, the ability to
successfully complete additional financings and other risks.
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Moreover, as detailed below, this publication accepts compensation from
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of newly issued, restricted common stock. The 2.3 million shares are now
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