Email : info@otcjournal.com
URL : http://www.otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
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Exciting Upcoming
Events |
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Here are a couple of exciting events
we know are coming up next week:
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New Profile:
We will be releasing a new profile next Friday, June 2nd.
We will probably release two profiles in June. We could not be more
excited about entry levels for small stocks, and we feel very strongly
that everything we do over the next several months will pay off handsomely
for investors in the latter part of the year.
Envoy Communications:
There will be a conference call held by Envoy Communications (TSE:
ECG) on Tuesday, June 30th, at 4:30 Eastern time. Management
will be discussing earnings, which will be released earlier that day.
There will also be a special surprise news item which will be revealed
during the call. You can listen in by dialing 800-273-9672 and informing
the operator that you wish to hear the Envoy call. Participants
in the Toronto area should call 416-695-5806. Don't worry about missing
the call. We will have a recorded audio version streamed on the Internet
for you on Tuesday night, and we will send out an edition with a link.
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Your
OTC Journal MVP Award |
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Just a reminder to members that have
not taken advantage of our MVP offer this month for Investor's Business
Daily. Have you redeemed your OTC Journal Membership Value Points
yet? If not, they will expire on June 8th. You can redeem your
points for a copy of William J. O'Neal's new best-selling book, "24
Essential Lessons for Investment Success," plus two weeks' service
of O'Neal's best-selling newspaper, Investor's Business Daily. But
you must do so before they expire on June 8. There are no strings, no bills;
you earned your points and your reward.
There are many places on the Internet
where you can sign up for a free two week subscription to IBD. However,
none of them come with the book. That is exclusive to members of
the OTC Journal. The offer is only good in the Continental
US- many apologies to our Canadian and overseas members.
Please claim your reward by following
the link below to redeem your points:
Click
Here to Go Directly to the Sign Up Page
or go to this web page:
http://otcjournal.mvpprogram.com
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Market
Comment |
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The Bears were in complete control
of the market this past week. Right now, they have all the momentum.
During the week there were several relief rallies in technology stocks.
Stocks that gapped up were all immediately beaten back down by short sellers
and short term traders.
We continue to be amazed by the herd
mentality of investors. Today we learned that about $17 billion flowed
out of mutual funds in the form of redemptions in May. This is with
the NASDAQ near 3000.
When the NASDAQ was at 5000 there
were substantial inflows of money into mutual funds. This whole picture
is backwards. Right now entry levels for stocks are far less risky
than they were two months ago. Even if we're not at the bottom yet,
we have to be 80% to 90% of the way there. So way are people taking
money out of mutual funds when 90% of the damage has been done?
Now is the time for investors to
be putting money in mutual funds. With the NASDAQ near the 3000 level
there is minimal downside risk compared to where we were in March.
Many of the NASDAQ high flyers are down to 1/3 of where they traded.
The risk/reward ratio from this point for investors that have an outlook
through to the end of the year is outstanding.
Investors are getting frustrated
and paranoid about the continuing decline in stocks. This is a good
sign that the market may be close to finding a bottom. Once we reach
the point where we are all convinced that a stock can never go up again,
that is when the market will turn around.
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Defensive
Trading Strategies For This Market- Using the Gap |
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Congratulations if you are a buyer
in this market. You have the courage to put your money to work at
a time when the rest of the world is paralyzed by fear. You will
make the most money when the market turns up.
A good strategy to use in a market
like this is to allocate a certain portion of your capital to a stock you
want to own. Start out by only investing 1/4 of the total amount
you are prepared to commit. That way you can add to the position
if the stock trades lower and take advantage of other people's weakness.
This only applies to investors that are prepared to hold for at least four
to six months- if you view yourself as a trader you must follow the short
term trend.
A very important rule in a market
like this: never buy a stock at the market when it Gaps Open.
A Gap occurs when a stock opens at a much higher price than it closed at
the previous day. In a market like this, 90% of the time that stock
will drop back down and fill the gap. Market Makers have been using
gaps to line their pockets with money from investors for years.
When market makers have market orders
for a stock at the open, they will often take the stock up, fill the market
orders at the higher price by shorting it to investors, and then drive
the price back down. Then when they have scared enough people into
selling, they cover their short and walk away with a tidy trading profit.
We noticed that this happened last
Thursday with New China Homes (NASDAQ: NEWC). In last
Wednesday's edition we featured the company as one that would benefit greatly
from China receiving most favored nation status after the vote in the House.
On Wednesday the stock closed at
$7. On Thursday there were buyers in the stock at the open.
The market makers opened the stock at $8 1/4, filled everybody's order
on the gap, and the stock immediately turned around and went straight back
down. Traders refer to this as "Filling the Gap". The stock has been
dropping since Thursday morning, and can now be picked up in the $6 range.
In a market like this you must always
use a limit order and exercise some patience. If you wanted to pick
up New China Homes on Thursday morning you should have placed a
limit order no higher than Wednesday nights' close and waited for the stock
to come to you.
Most of the China related stocks
which had traded so well prior to the vote in Congress got clobbered at
the end of last week demonstrating that the Bears are in total control.
This strategy also works most of
the time when a stock gaps down at the open. Don't be spooked into
selling immediately. If you want to sell the stock it will come back
up 90% of the time, rebound enough to fill the gap, and then go lower if
the news is bad.
All of these trading strategies are
very short term. If you are an investor for six months to one year
in New China Homes (NASDAQ: NEWC) it won't make much difference
if you own it at $8.25 or $6.25. The stock will either perform or
it won't. However, it just makes good sense to prevent market makers
from lining their pockets with your money by using the same tricks that
have been working for years.
Next week we will have an edition
on Tuesday after the Envoy Conference call, a mid week edition,
and a new profile on Friday. Maybe the turn will come next week.
Please enjoy the long holiday weekend. |