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Update on New Idea in Gold: DGP

Those of you who caught the weekend edition should be aware of my new idea for investing in Gold. With the market moving up a bit today, the fear fueled gold rally is taking a bit of a breather.

My idea for investing in gold is DGP- the 2 for 1 ETF, is new closing in on an excellent entry point. I'm looking for this security to pull back and fill the gap that was created last week when the market tanked and gold gapped up.

As you can see from the chart, that entry level is in the $21.30 to $21.50 range- As I make today's notes, DGP is trading at $21.86- within striking distance of my ideal entry level.

If you see the $21.50 level, don't hesitate to begin accumulating this one. Gold is going to do well this year. Fear is driving the price right now. Inflation expectations will drive it later in the year.
 
 
 
 

Nighthawk (OTC BB: NIHK) Dishes the Goods: Negatives All Priced In

Those of you who have been waiting patiently for some sort of update out of Nighthawk's CEO Doug Saathoff were enlightened this morning in the preopen hours.

The company let the cat out of the bag officially- revenues for the first half of 2009 are going to be down from the same time period in 2008. I would say it's not much of a surprise, and I would also say any negatives associated with this sort of revelation have already been priced into the stock.

I guess the big question with regard to Nighthawk is when the newly forged Itron (NASDAQ: ITRI) is going to start translating to sales. Remote disconnection capabilities for utilities in the current recession/near depression have got to be growing in demand. I would like to see that translate into orders and revenues in the not too distant future. If it's in conjuction with the Itron sales force, so much the better.

The set top box business is not a mystery. Hotels have to upgrade in order to remain competitive, but I don't see them doing so aggressively in this recessionary climate. They are scrambling just like everyone else to live on lower revenues, and entertainment upgrades are no doubt being put on the back burner.

Since NIHK is still not profitable, one would expect more dillution in some form. Undoubtedly, the company is going back to its financing sources to help meet its capital needs, and more dillution is not a positive for the stock price.

Despite the rather negative tone of today's news, Nighthawk does have some very interesting new relationships developing, and some old ones that could be "reincarnated". The table is now set with the moderately negative news out of the way. In my view, negatives shareholders might perceive out of today's news have already been priced in. This sets the stage for the company to share some positive developments as they become available, and hopefully some sort of rebound in the stock price.

Hardly worth selling at this point. Something is bound to improve.

Here is today's news for your review:
 


Press Release Source: Nighthawk Systems, Inc.

Nighthawk Systems Discusses Expectations for 2009

SAN ANTONIO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Nighthawk Systems, Inc. (OTCBB: NIHK - News) CEO H. Douglas Saathoff issued a statement today discussing expectations for the Company in light of current economic conditions. Nighthawk Systems is a leading provider of wireless and IP-based control devices and solutions, with a primary focus on power control devices for the electric utility industry and high definition set top boxes in the hospitality industry.

Mr. Saathoff commented, “As I stated just over a month ago, we are coming off the strongest year ever for the Company. With our set top box business fully integrated into the Company, we produced record revenues during 2008 and enhanced our margins as well. Based on feedback from existing customers and prospective customers, we expect to see further growth in 2009, and positive cash flow remains a realistic goal of the Company for this year. However, I expect revenues for the first half of the year to decline in comparison to last year as we deal with the effects of the current economic downturn. Although interest in our products remains strong, customers are acting more slowly and cautiously, and production cycles are getting longer as everyone deals with a tighter credit environment. Capital sources are strained and acting more slowly than normal.”

Mr. Saathoff continued, “In spite of the economy, the reasons for optimism at Nighthawk are many, and the results from 2008 have us better prepared for the road that lies ahead. A growing customer base, new products and better sales channels should lead to growth in the second half of 2009. We have been working with several new companies within the hospitality market, integrating our set top boxes into their systems, and with several new customers outside of the hospitality industry as well. New relationships should supplement existing order flow for set top boxes in the latter half of 2009. Demand for money-saving devices should increase in this economy, and spending on smart grid devices should increase due to government incentives and regulatory requirements. These factors, combined with our new relationship with Itron and the introduction of new products into the market, should lead to growth in sales of power control devices in the utility industry during the latter half of 2009.”

About Nighthawk Systems, Inc.

Nighthawk is a leading provider of intelligent wireless power control products that enable simultaneous activation or de-activation of multiple assets or systems on demand. Nighthawk's installed customer base includes major electric utilities, internet service providers and fire departments in forty states. Nighthawk's products also enable custom message display, making them ideal for use in traffic control and emergency notification situations. Individuals interested in Nighthawk Systems can sign up to receive email alerts by visiting the Company’s website at www.nighthawksystems.com.

Forward-looking statements

Statements contained in this release, which are not historical facts, including statements about plans and expectations regarding business areas and opportunities, acceptance of new or existing businesses, capital resources and future business or financial results are "forward-looking" statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, customer acceptance of our products, our ability to raise capital to fund our operations, our ability to develop and protect proprietary technology, government regulation, competition in our industry, general economic conditions and other risk factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward-looking statements. Although we believe the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, they relate only to events as of the date on which the statements are made, and our future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements may not meet these expectations. We do not intend to update any of the forward-looking statements after the date of this press release to conform these statements to actual results or to changes in our expectations, except as required by law.

Contact:

Nighthawk Systems, Inc.
Doug Saathoff, 877-764-4484, Ext. 701
dsaathoff@nighthawksystems.com

 

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