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I'm Buying China Recycling
Energy (OTC BB: CREG) |
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I'm hanging with my Big 3 China picks
through this market correction, and being aggressive where I see opportunity.
I have 3 more to add in the next few months. For those of you who have
followed my ideas in the China space, you know I own all three of them-
CEU,
CREG, and NFEC. I have put my own capital into all three of these
stocks. I have traded a little bit around the positions on surges, but
at this time am more inclined to be a buyer rather than a seller.
I have started adding to my position
in CREG today. So far today, I have purchased 4100 shares at an
average cost of $3.77, and plan to add perhaps another 3,000
to 5,000 shares. This brings my total position back up to about 65,000
shares, some of which are restricted at present.
I'm taking advantage of this price
pullback for several reasons. The first is technical. I believe the stock
is ready to move back up over $4 on its way to $6.
Here's another busy chart for you
to review. It's a pattern I've seen repeated many times in market corrections.
This BB stock has had a fair amount of institutional sponsorship. The market
is in a corrective phase, and some hedge fund decided to liquidate its
entire position in one day with no regard for price.
That's the big down bar you see back
on Jan 22. Since that date, the stock has stabilized on far lighter volume,
and has trended sideways as the volume has dried up. The seller is exhausted,
and the supply is far more limited.
The stock also pulled back to a perfect
61.8% retracement at about $3.35 and bounced. The 38.2% retracement
is about $4, and a break above that level might have the stock surging
again on towards $5. Therefore, I'm buying up to $4.
The third reason I've decided to
jump into this one now relates to the recent update out of the one analyst
who covers the stock. Garwood Securities has had a price target of $4.50
on this stock, and just raised it to $6. Click
Here to read the update on their reseach.
I'm a huge believer in the long term
future of the BOT model- Build, Operate, and Transfer. CREG collects
recurring monthly revenues for 10 years plus, then transfers ownership
of the system to the user.
They build and install their energy
saving technologies into China's manufacturing plants. They collect a big
fee at installation, but maintain ownership and collect residual revenues
every month for years. Eventually, the system transfers over to the plant
owner, but not for 10 to 15 years in most cases. As they install more systems,
the "mailbox" money they collect just increases. I love it.
The analyst at Garwood sees CREG
delivering $90 million in revs this year, up from $45 million
in 2009. He has their fully diluted EPS at $.37, which I believe
is low.
Even if he's right, and the EPS
comes in at $.37, I'm only paying about 10X 2010 EPS with a 100%
growth rate. That's a steal in my view. I believe this stock will eventually
trade at a much higher multiple as businesses with recurring revenues are
simply worth more than project driven revenues.
I have no problem accumulating this
one at these levels for a double before the end of 2010.
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Biocurex (OTC BB: BOCX):
Wasting No Time |
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BOCX is now armed with more
cash than it's ever had in its history. The company completed a successful
financing last month, and is now armed with about
$6 million in
cash. Even the over allotment of $400k was purchased, suggesting investors
liked buying at $.07.
Their technology is all about this
proprietary RECAF cancer screening test which as been licensed by
both Abbot Labs (NYSE: ABT) and Inverness Med (NYSE: IMA). This
is a highly sensitive cancer marker- it can detect cancer in a blood test
long before the current tests. Early detection is the key to effective
therapy when dealing with cancer.
For those who have been following
the story of this penny stock, there's some news worth sharing.
This morning pre open, BOCX
made some noise for the first time in a while. The company announced the
formation and launch of a new subsidiary- Oncopet Diagnostics.
Would you believe this number? $45
billion. That Billion with a B. That's the amount spent on pets
annually, and it grew from 2008 to 2009 in the midst of our nasty recession.
Seems like I personally spent about half of it on our beloved labradoodle.
$10.2
billion of that money is health care. There are 93.6 million cats
and 77.5 million dogs found in US households today.
Just like humans, companion animals
can get cancer, and millions are spent every year on therapy. However,
until now, no one has offered an inexpensive early detection cancer test.
Oncopet Diagnostics, a wholly
owned subsidiary of BOCX, will begin offering test in the near future
both through direct sales and a rep network. This will allow
BOCX to
start generating some cash flow from its technology as it moves towards
and FDA approval for the human version of the test.
There are a lot of penny stock investors
following this situation. After all, licensing agreements with Abbott and
Inverness are pretty stout 3rd party endorsements of the potential value
of the technology.
I've been following this situation
for a number of years now. My expectations- Now that BOCX has it
$6
million, it will move forward towards an FDA Approval for their
cancer test in concert with Inverness. Prostate Cancer will be a good target
as the current PSA test is very poor. This is non invasive, so the process
is nothing like getting a new drug approved.
Technically, upside movement in this
stock could be challenging. After all, the company just issued 90 million
free trading shares priced at $.07, with a $.105 warrant attached. The
stock has traded over 1.5 million shares already today, and is a touch
under $.07. Could have some significant upside, so we will have to see
if the supply is restrained.
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Email Questions or Comments To:
editor@otcjournal.com
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