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After All, Tomorrow Is Another
Day
Margaret Mitchell- Last Line in
Gone
With The Wind |
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Calypte Biomed
(OTC BB: CALY) - Today's Events Could Be Catalyst for Trend Reversal |
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Calypte Biomed issued a very
strong press release just prior to the market's open this morning, and
today's news may be the catalyst required to reverse the trend and get
this stock headed back up the charts.
Today, just prior to the market open,
Calypte
announced
the signing of the most significant contract in the company's history.
Calypte
announced a distribution agreement with a major medical products distributor
in China which is expected to add a minimum of $3 million
in revenues over the next three years.
Calypte is the only company
in the world with an FDA Approval for an AIDS test kit which uses urine
as opposed to blood to determine if an individual is infected with the
HIV Virus. Urine testing is considerably easier and less expensive. In
2001 most major US life insurance companies migrated to this test, and
the company was rewarded with $6 million in sales in the first year of
commercial introduction.
While the AIDS test kit market is
substantial in North America, it pales in comparison to the market for
AIDS testing worldwide where the spread of HIV has reached epidemic proportions
and sample handling is considerably more difficult.
Current estimates have the number
of AIDS cases in Eastern Asia at about 5.3 million. China's health ministry
has confirmed over one million cases in China and growing. A recent report
by the UN estimates China could have more than 10 million HIV cases by
2010.
As we reported in the OTC Journal
in our September
3rd edition, Dr. Luc Montagnier, co-discoverer of HIV-1 and discoverer
of HIV-2, had just concluded a four day speaking tour in China. In presentations
to several government agencies, Dr. Montagnier spoke specifically about
the advantages of Calypte's urine based HIV test technology. The
company believed this was the first step towards getting a foothold in
the enormous Chinese market.
Apparently, his efforts paid off,
and as disclosed in the press release Calypte is planning on shipping
100,000 test kits to China in the 4th quarter. This is the first major
commercial contract in 2002 for Calypte since the company was rescued
from insolvency this past May.
This news will probably yield several
days of high volume and possibly substantial price appreciation in the
stock. This stock has a cult like following and trades prolific volume,
and this news could help push the stock back towards the high of $.44 it
enjoyed this past June during the semi annual international AIDS conference
held in Barcelona, Spain.
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Major
Change in Technical Picture Could Be Imminent |
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Despite a series of positive fundamental
developments over the past two months, shares of Calypte have struggled,
hitting a new all time low last week of $.08 since we began covering
this company at the end of May.
As mentioned in our September
3rd edition on Calypte, there has been a substantial excess
supply of free trading Calypte shares issued at a discount to the
prevailing market as a result of the company's need to raise cash in order
to fuel expansion.
In fact, SEC filings reveal the company
has drawn down on its equity line of credit five times since August 14th,
and has issued approximately 15 million shares of free trading
stock at prices from $.12 down to $.075 per share.
Each time shares were issued, they
were priced below the prevailing market, and undoubtedly these shares were
immediately sold, causing a significant excess supply.
In a conversation with management
on Monday, October 14th, we learned Calypte would no longer need
to draw down on its equity line of credit as a result of the cash flow
it would be receiving from the new Chinese distribution agreement.
Therefore, we believe there is a
strong possibility Monday's 20% surge in the stock price could signal a
trend reversal. Decreasing supply and increasing demand make for the perfect
formula for price appreciation.
Calypte should have about
100 million shares issued and outstanding. Therefore, at $.10 per share,
the entire market value of the company is still only about $10 million.
We believe the technology is worth substantially more. Our target price
for long term investors still remains at $.33.
Here is the complete text of the
news release for your review:
| Press Release Source:
Calypte Biomedical Corporation
Calypte Receives First
Commercial Order in China With New Distributor
Order for 100,000
Tests to Ship in Fourth Quarter 2002
Tuesday October 15, 7:04
am ET
ALAMEDA, Calif.--(BUSINESS
WIRE)--Oct. 15, 2002--Calypte Biomedical Corporation (OTCBB:CALY - News),
the developer and marketer of the only two FDA approved HIV-1 antibody
tests for use with urine samples, announced that it has received its first
commercial order from its new Chinese distributor for the Urine HIV-1 EIA.
Calypte has signed an exclusive two-year distribution agreement with Zhong
Yang Pute Co. ("ZYPute"), a distributor of medical products in China.
The agreement calls
for minimum purchase orders of Calypte's products, which are expected to
add at least $3 million in revenue over the next two years. The company
will begin manufacturing the first order of over 100,000 tests imminently,
with shipping expected to occur in the fourth quarter. The agreement is
automatically extendable for an additional two years contingent upon the
distributor's performance and new minimum purchases will be negotiated
at that time.
The agreement gives exclusive
rights to distribute the Urine HIV-1 EIA and Urine HIV-1 Western Blot tests
to specific market segments within 20 of the 31 Chinese provinces and to
the military nationwide, along with non-exclusive distribution rights for
the Serum HIV-1 Western Blot tests in the same territories. Calypte's Urine
EIA test has been approved for distribution by the Chinese State Drug Administration
(SDA) to customers that do not require lot release testing.
"Traditional blood testing
is expensive, difficult to handle, poses potential risk hazards and can
be culturally unacceptable in some parts of the world," stated Anthony
Cataldo, executive chairman of Calypte. "Our tests provide a safe, non-invasive
and cost-effective alternative with none of the risks associated with blood
testing. The agreement with ZYPute is another example of Calypte's execution
of acheivement milestones. We expect our products to play a major role
in China's fight against HIV/AIDS. The agreement does not include our revolutionary
Rapid Urine Test, which is anticipated to have a much larger market in
China and the rest of the world than the current EIA."
According to a recent
report by the United Nations, China could have more than 10 million HIV
cases by 2010. China's health ministry has confirmed over one million cases
and a 16% year-over-year increase in the number of people infected. China
is now estimated to have Asia's fourth largest number of people infected
with HIV/AIDS. Dr. Luc Montagnier, co-discoverer of HIV-1 and consultant
to Calypte, visited with the Chinese government in August 2002 to discuss
the increase in the need for continued mass screening for HIV. During the
visit, he demonstrated the advantages of urine-based screening and promoted
the Calypte product.
Nancy Katz, president
and CEO of Calypte, stated, "We have been focused on gaining access to
the Chinese market and securing distribution through a commercial distributor.
Our choice in ZYPute stemmed from their steadfast belief that the minimum
purchase requirements will be exceeded over the term of the agreement.
Calypte stands to gain sizeable volume orders from this relationship and
we look forward to a long and productive relationship with ZYPute. "
Katz added, "Already
ZYPute has identified commercial applications for our Urine HIV EIA with
the current level of SDA approval. We continue to pursue approval by the
Biologics division of the SDA by early 2003, which will enable Calypte
to sell tests to those customers that do require specific lot testing."
About Zhong Yang Bio-Medi-Tech
(ZYPute):
ZYPute was previously
one of 17 affiliates organized under the corporate umbrella of Beijing
Pharmaceutical Co., a conglomerate with US$70 million in assets, and 3
publicly traded companies. ZYPute merged with HuaXin International Economic
& Trade Co. Ltd., a company owned and operated by the Ministry of Foreign
Trade and Economic Cooperation. Together, the companies have established
3 regional offices that will manage a network of 10 experienced sub-distributors,
operating in 20 provinces. The union of the two companies gives ZYPute
exceptional insight into the procurement processes of several markets in
China that Calypte believes to be important consumers of HIV testing products,
and the ability to communicate with policy-makers at levels that are normally
not accessible to regional sub-distributors.
Although ZYPute was initially
established as a distributor of aircraft supplies, primarily to the military,
the company is now focused exclusively in the medical field. Its core medical
business includes a range of hospital products in the field of infant nutrition.
About Calypte Biomedical:
Calypte Biomedical Corporation
headquartered in Alameda, California, is a public healthcare company dedicated
to the development and commercialization of urine-based diagnostic products
and services for Human Immunodeficiency Virus Type 1 (HIV-1), sexually
transmitted diseases and other infectious diseases. Calypte's tests include
the screening EIA and supplemental Western Blot tests, the only two FDA-approved
HIV-1 antibody tests that can be used on urine samples. When compared with
existing blood-based tests, our testing algorithms are non-invasive, easier
to use, less expensive and have significantly less risk than blood-based
testing, and they have 99.7% sensitivity in subjects previously identified
as HIV-1 infected and 100% specificity in subjects at low risk when combined
with the urine-based Western Blot supplemental test. The company believes
that accurate, non-invasive urine-based testing methods for HIV and other
infectious diseases may make important contributions to public health by
helping to foster an environment in which testing may be done safely, economically,
and painlessly. Calypte markets its products in countries worldwide through
international distributors and strategic partners.
Statements in this press
release that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements within
the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended. Those statements
include statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations
of the Company and its management. Such statements reflect management's
current views, are based on certain assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties.
Actual results, events, or performance may differ materially from the above
forward-looking statements due to a number of important factors, and will
be dependent upon a variety of factors, including, but not limited to,
our ability to obtain additional financing and access funds from our existing
financing arrangements that will allow us to continue our current and future
operations and whether demand for our product and testing service in domestic
and international markets will continue to expand. The Company undertakes
no obligation to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect
events or circumstances that occur after the date hereof or to reflect
any change in the Company's expectations with regard to these forward-looking
statements or the occurrence of unanticipated events. Factors that may
impact the Company's success are more fully disclosed in the Company's
most recent public filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
("SEC"), including its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2001 and its subsequent filings with the SEC.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Contact:
Calypte Biomedical Corporation
Richard VanMaanen, 510/749-5153
(Director Intl Business Development)
email:dvanmaanen@calypte.com
or
Investor Relations Contact:
Lippert/Heilshorn & Associates
Brendan Lahiff/Kirsten Chapman, 415/433-3777
email:brendan@lhai-sf.com
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