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What A Massive Stop and Reverse Looks Like- See CGYV

I have writing about the challenges in the current market environment quite extensively. Forced liquidations by funds closing their doors are a big part of the technical picture. I have read estimates suggesting 2009 there will be about 1/3 the current number of hedge funds we have in existence today. 

If you are watching CGYV today, you are watching a classic stop and reverse chart. I have been calling CGYV a strong buy, but cautioning all there was likely more toxic stock for sale in the market place. 

It's not hard to figure this stuff out. If you just take the time to look at the S1 Registration statement the company filed this past summer, you will see a list of funds who participate in the financing at $2.12 per share. I guarantee some of those funds have been forced liquidators of their positions. 

Today, based on the actions in the market, I believe the forced liquidations have come to an end. The market has absorbed the toxic supply of shares, and the stock made a huge move towards getting healthy. 

It was an absolute classic stop and reverse chart. In the early going, the stock was trading in the $1.10 range. About 1 1/2 hours into the trading day, the stock traded down on massive volume to a low print of $.90. It traded 300,000 shares in one hour, which is 50% more volume than the highest day in the stock's history. Then, it turned around on a dime.

As I write today's edition, CGYV is now up 20% on the day. It has now traded more than twice the volume it has ever traded in a single day, and has broken to the highest level it has seen since October 14th.

I believe today marks the beginning of a major rebound phase in this stock. Here's my very short term advice:

  • If you already own the stock, don't sell it now on the rebound. There could easily be some backing and filling, but I believe there is way more upside.
  • If you don't own it and are interested in the company, now is the time to get into the stock.
  • If you own a little, but don't feel you own enough, pick it up now.
Remember, CGYV has recently disclosed it will be presenting at both the Westergaard and Rodman Renshaw conferences next week in NY. You have now witnessed a classic "stop and reverse" chart. These are both a pretty big deal. Former President Bill Clinton is giving the key note address on Monday morning at the start of the Rodman Renshaw conference.

Market wise, the worst is probably behind us. For CGYV, it is definitely behind us in my view. Look for today to be the first great day with more to come.

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OTCJ: Chu On This
December 16, 2008

Market Summary
Dow 8952.89 -81.80 (-0.91%)
Nasdaq 1628.03 -4.18 (-0.26%)
Russell 2K 505.03 +0.00 (+0.00%)
S&P 500 927.45 +0.00 (+0.00%)
S&P 100 440.83 +0.00 (+0.00%)
Quotes are delayed 20 minutes.

© 2009 OTC Journal