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Family Room
(OTC BB: FMLY)- Gets Back in the Limelight and Back on Track |
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As you can see from this chart, Family
Room Entertainment has been hammered this year. Investors had high
hopes for the company, as their first two major theatrical releases hit
the theaters in the fourth quarter of last year.
Half Past Dead, the thriller
starring Steven Segal, was no surprise. This "B" movie was a minor box
office win, and should produce some residual profits for wholly owned subsidiary
Emmet/Furla Productions when it goes to video and premium channels.
The by far bigger disappointment
was NARC, the thriller starring Ray Liotta and Jason Patric. This
movie had lots of pre-release hype. Having won critical acclaim at the
Sundance Film Fesitval, the likes of Dustin Hoffman, Tom Cruise, and Warren
Beatty were heaping praise on the movie.
Most of Hollywood was looking for
an Oscar Nomination for Ray Liotta, and critics everywhere thought the
film would meet with considerable commercial success. Family Room,
in possesion of 23.5% of the producer profits, was looking for its first
big win.
The film met with very limited box
office success, and no Oscar Nomination, much to the disappointment of
shareholders. Apparently, despite the critical acclaim, movie going audiences
and the Academy were not entertained by the gritty and violent nature of
the film. Hence, a serious drubbing of the stock has taken place, and we
believe current levels represent an outstanding opportunity for investors.
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Bargain
Hunters Take Note- Family Room is Far From Half Past Dead |
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Recently Family Room has made
several announcements concerning new projects. A second Steven Segal
thriller, Belly of the Beast, is currently filming in Thailand.
Blind
Horizon, starring Val Kilmer, has completed filming and is in the
editing process.
Family Room also recently
announced a new direct marketing initiative. They will begin marketing,
through 90 second commercials nationwide, a DVD series of classic programming.
The first series of DVD's will feature the comic performances of Red
Skelton. Commercials will begin airing at the end of this month.
News of another new project in the
pipeline became public knowledge today. Family Room and National
Lampoon today announced they will be partnering to develop a new movie,
tenatively entitled "Back To College".
Based on the personal experiences
of coproducers Randall Emmett and George Furla, who posed as college transfer
students at Auburn University in the Fall of 1999, the film is expected
to be a hybrid of Rodney Dangerfield's comedy "Back To School",
and National Lampoon's commercially successful "Animal House".
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Conclusion |
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As we stated in our original Trading
Alert on Family Room, this company has the upside of a biotech stock
without the enormous capital requirements and the downside risk.
One big commercial success can yield
substantial profits. Sticking to the biotech metaphor, one might say their
first big drug, in the form of the movie NARC, failed in Stage III
clinical trials.
However, the company has many more
opportunities for huge home runs. However, unlike a biotech company, Family
Room doesn't need massive amounts of capital to achieve commercial
success. Their projects are financed by others.
The stock is absurdly oversold at
current levels. With only 20 million shares issued and outstanding, the
closing market value of the entire company was only about $1.7 million
based on today's closing price.
The stock is certainly entitled to
bounce back into the $.15 range on the strength of the new direct marketing
program and the Back To College project with National Lampoon.
In addition, there are several more major projects in the works, which
we will report as they become public information.
Bottom line- take advantage
of the short term weakness in the stock. A roll of the dice at $.085 seems
relatively risk free as compared to past pricing of the stock. Lots of
upside potential and limited downdside risk.
Charts Provided Courtesy
Of TradePortal.com
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