 |
 |
September
29, 2006 |
 |
|
 |
Volume
VII, Issue 75 |
 |
|
Home Page : www.otcjournal.com
Email Questions or Comments To:
editor@otcjournal.com
To
OTC Journal Members:
 |
Auriga Labs
(OTC BB: ARGA) Forecasts Massive Growth |
|
Auriga has not caught fire
with investors, but if they deliver on the numbers they disclosed Friday
after the market closed, investors will definitely pick up on this situation.
It's a unique company. While ARGA
could be classified as a biotech company since they have some new therapies
in development, they cross platform to a small pharmaceutical company through
their already FDA Approved product lines and the prescription drug sales
force.
If you own shares of ARGA,
you own the upside of biotech with the stability of a pharma company with
real sales and most likely earnings later in 2007.
Based on historical sales of their
current product lines, ARGA formally announced today it expects
to generate $26.4 million in revenues in calendar '07, up
from $7.6 million in calendar on '06. That's a whopping 247%
growth rate year over year. The last time a pharma company experienced
247% growth was when Amgen introduced blockbuster cancer drug Interferon
in the last 80's.
ARGA also disclosed it expects
to turn the corner to profitability sometime during 2007.
This is a pure numbers/growth situation.
So, let's look at what the numbers could mean to the stock price. There
are 36 million shares I&O yielding a market value of $54 million at
$1.50. As a function of sales, where do most pharma/biotechs trade? It
runs the gamut. As a general rule, the Price to Sales ratio of most biotech/pharma
companies with growth is in the 5 to 10 range.
Therefore, if ARGA can deliver
the forecast sales in '07, one can make a reasonable forecast that company
would trade in the $137 million to $274 million range. Those
numbers would put the stock $2.62 to $5 range.
I realize that's a fairly big range
looking out into 2007. There are a lot of variables to consider. Firstly-
when will the market be willing to price in this kind of performance? Secondly,
if they can achieve the projected growth, can the continue the meteoric
growth into 2008? If the market believes, the stock could easily trade
north of the higher side of the trading range.
In my view, $54 million for
a projected $26.4 million next year in this industry group seems
like a very promising speculation with a lot of upside. If you wait for
the revenues to appear in the rear view mirror, the stock will likely be
much higher. That's the nature of speculation and a bet on the future.
You will be rewarded as soon as the market believes. You have the advantage
of knowing about it before the rest of the investing world.
The way this stock is behaving, a
little volume could be worth a big move in price. I wouldn't be surprised
to see it start to happen on Monday.
Here's the complete text of the news
for your review:
| Press Release Source: Auriga Laboratories,
Inc.
Auriga Announces 2007 Revenue Guidance Forecast
of $26.4 Million vs. $7.6 Million Forecast for 2006
Friday September 29, 4:01 pm ET
Company Anticipates Significant Revenue Through
Distribution of Proprietary Products Targeting Multibillion-Dollar Markets
NORCROSS, Ga.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Auriga
Laboratories, Inc. (OTCBB:ARGA - News), a specialty pharmaceutical company
formed to drive high-growth revenues through acquisition of valuable brand
portfolios and innovative drug development programs, has released revenue
guidance for the remainder of calendar year 2006 and for 2007, projecting
significant revenue increases through sales growth of its FDA-authorized
prescription drug products, including Extendryl® and other brands.
Auriga currently projects that it
will generate an estimated $26.4 million of total revenue for the calendar
year ending December 31, 2007, compared to total revenues of an estimated
$7.6 million currently projected for the calendar year ending December
31, 2006, according to guidance released today by Philip S. Pesin, Auriga's
Chief Executive Officer. Auriga generated approximately $507,000 of revenues
during the three months ended June 30, 2006. Auriga generated $3.7 million
of net losses during such three month period and anticipates that it will
continue to generate losses until sometime in 2007.
"We are extraordinarily pleased to
announce these forecasts which we believe are based on a realistic reflection
of the marketplace value and strength of Auriga's business model and vision,"
said Mr. Pesin. "It should be clear to the investment community that Auriga
has already made very substantial progress in the execution of its high-growth
business path, most recently validated, we believe, by a series of key
acquisitions and other strategic milestones. We are extremely excited by
the successes we have achieved so far and by the outlook for the remainder
of 2006 and for 2007."
The revenue forecasts are based on
a number of assumptions and other factors, including historical sales of
Extendryl® and Levall®, projected demand for the newly FDA-cleared
product Aquoral(TM) and our ability to increase our commissioned sales
force.
Auriga is targeting the multibillion-dollar
cold, respiratory and allergy markets through its Extendryl® and Levall®
families of prescription drug products. It also recently announced the
acquisition of the exclusive license to market the FDA-cleared Aquoral(TM),
a prescription-only product designed to treat the widespread condition
xerostomia, representing a potential marketplace estimated to exceed $1
billion.
In addition, in an effort to maximize
sales revenues, Auriga has also launched an innovative commission-only
structure designed to enable Auriga to enlarge its sales force significantly
during the next 18 months, while minimizing fixed costs. Based on its current
business plan, Auriga estimates that the sales force could grow to in excess
of 100 representatives within 18 months, compared to the current sales
force of 30 representatives.
Since last year, Auriga has bolstered
its product portfolio following the milestone acquisitions of exclusive
distribution rights to Extendryl®, Levall® and Aquoral(TM). The
Company intends to continue to acquire new prescription drug brands. It
also plans to extend existing brands with proprietary drug-delivery technology
and to further develop its pipeline of new drug candidates.
Auriga develops pharmaceutical products
based on patented drug delivery technologies that match an understanding
of patient physiology with advances in cellular biology, material science,
and pharmaceutics. Its business strategy has been designed to minimize
the capital requirements, risk and product time-to-market through the acquisition
and reformulation of undervalued products for extended market exclusivity.
About Auriga Laboratories(TM)
Auriga Laboratories(TM) is a specialty
pharmaceutical company capitalizing on high-revenue markets and opportunities
in the pharmaceutical industry through proactive sales, integrated marketing
and advanced in-house drug development capabilities. The Company's high-growth
business model combines acquisition of proven brand names, powerful product
development strategies and rapidly-growing national sales teams and marketing
operations. Auriga acquires valuable brand portfolios that are no longer
a strategic focus for large pharmaceutical companies, then capitalizes
on untapped marketplace opportunities through brand extension and directed
sales/marketing programs. The Company's drug-development pipeline leverages
novel material science and advanced drug delivery technologies to produce
improved formulations of successful brands to further expand markets, sales
and clinical indications for proven, successful products. Auriga's exclusive
product portfolio currently includes the Extendryl® and Levall®
families of prescription products, indicated for relief of symptoms associated
with a range of acute respiratory diseases. Auriga plans to become a fully
integrated pharmaceutical company by acquiring its own manufacturing and
development capabilities. Moving forward, the Company will seek to acquire
and/or in-license additional products and technologies to further grow
revenues. For more information, please visit: www.aurigalabs.com. For investor-specific
information and resources, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/auriga/.
For an informational video overview, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/auriga/video.html.
To view current stock quotes and news, visit http://www.trilogy-capital.com/tcp/auriga/quote.html.
Forward-Looking Statements
The information contained herein
includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future
events or to our future financial performance, and involve known and unknown
risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results,
levels of activity, performance, or achievements to be materially different
from any future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements
expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. You should not
place undue reliance on forward-looking statements since they involve known
and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which are, in some cases,
beyond our control and which could, and likely will, materially affect
actual results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. Any forward-looking
statement reflects our current views with respect to future events and
is subject to these and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating
to our operations, results of operations, growth strategy and liquidity.
We assume no obligation to publicly update or revise these forward-looking
statements for any reason, or to update the reasons actual results could
differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements,
even if new information becomes available in the future. Important factors
that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations
include, but are not limited to, those factors that are disclosed under
the heading "Risk Factors" and elsewhere in our documents filed from time
to time with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission and other
regulatory authorities. Statements regarding the Company's ability to increase
its sales force and the success of such sales force in selling our products
in light of competitive and other factors, the regulatory status and/or
regulatory compliance of our products, our ability to secure additional
financing, our ability to sustain market acceptance for our products, our
dependence on collaborators, our ability to find and execute strategic
transactions, our potential exposure to litigation, our exposure to product
liability claims, and our prices, future revenues and income and cash flows
and other statements that are not historical facts contain predictions,
estimates and other forward-looking statements. Although the Company believes
that its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give
no assurance that its goals will be achieved and these statements will
prove to be accurate. Important factors could cause actual results to differ
materially from those included in the forward-looking statements.
Contact:
Auriga Laboratories, Inc.
Philip Pesin, 877-287-4428
investors@aurigalabs.com
or
Financial Communications
Trilogy Capital Partners, Inc.
Paul Karon, 800-592-6067
paul@trilogy-capital.com
Source: Auriga Laboratories, Inc. |
|
|
Shutterfly Opens For Trading With a Muted
Bang
|
For those of you who are following
this arbitrage situation, shares of Shutterfly (NASDAQ: SFLY) opened
for trading on the NASDAQ today. 5.8 million shares were priced at $15
by the underwriters. On its opening day, the stock printed at a high price
of $16.73, and closed at a muted premium of $15.55- an 11% premium to the
IPO price.
While this is far from a screaming
IPO success, of significant interest was the volume in the stock. SFLY
traded a whopping 8.6 million shares. 48% more shares traded than we issued
in the whole IPO- a relatively astonishing number.
This stock will probably continue
to trade at a moderate premium to the IPO price for the next week or two,
and then begin to head higher. It is clear from today's trading activity
that all the short term players who received allocations were able to get
out. From here, the stock can probably firm up. I am not expressing an
opinion about the stock. If you buy it, you are on your own.
The market cap of SFLY is
just north of $350 million. The closing bid of $.22 on PHCHF
yields a market value of $66 million. Both companies are in the
online photo print space, with one major difference. SFLY is a direct
B2C online photo developer. You go to their web site, you upload your digital
images, you order your prints, and they come in the mail. Good business,
but requires a massive infrastructure and the burden of the cost of customer
acquisition.
PHCHF on the other hand, is
a B2C business model. They are the silent back end for a number of retailers
who have implemented an "Online To Retail" strategy. You go to the
web site of your local CVS pharmacy, WalMart Canada, Costco Canada, and
a plethora of other retailers. You then upload your photos, and pick them
up in one hour at your local store. The web site might say CVS,
but you will find "Powered by PhotoChannel" somewhere on the page.
PHCHF then makes a couple
of pennies on every print without having to own the printing, shipping,
or have the customer. The top line will look much smaller, but the profits
will actually be far greater. In my view, the PHCHF business model
is far less risky and capital intensive.
PHCHF had a very strong week.
The stock closed at $.22 bid- up about 22% from the level
I suggested entering earlier in the week. Volume was very strong, topping
1 million shares 2 of the 5 trading days.
One word of caution; I anticipate
PHCHF
will engage in a 10 for 1 reverse split in the not too distant future.
I believe it is a very good move for the company at this time. They are
done raising capital, and have the company positioned for institutional
participation after five years of struggle. Since reverse splits are viewed
as a negative by many investors, the news could push the stock down temporarily.
If it does, it would represent a buying opportunity in my view.
|
|
|
|
 |
Subscribe |
 |
Information is power and timely information is profitable. Become informed and profit from OTC Journal Profiles and Trading Alerts by becoming a Preferred Member today. There is no cost associated with your email subscription.
Add your email address below and make sure to check your email inbox and confirm your opt-in request to start receiving the OTC Journal Email Newsletter on a regular basis.
To ensure newsletter delivery, you can add any additional email addresses you may have to the OTC Journal Member List. Receiving the OTC Journal Newsletter in multiple locations is the best
way of making sure you don't miss the next investing or trading opportunity! For web based email addresses, the OTC Journal recommends @yahoo.com or @aol.com for timely and reliable
email newsletter delivery.
Note: Your email address will be kept strictly confidential, and will not be shared with any other entity for any purpose at any time. If you no longer wish to receive the OTC Journal, simply follow the instructions located at the bottom of every OTC Journal Newsletter Edition.
|
|
|
|
| The OTCjournal.com Newsletter is
an independent electronic publication committed to providing our readers
with factual information on selected publicly traded companies. All
companies are chosen on the basis of certain financial analysis and other
pertinent criteria with a view toward maximizing the upside potential
for investors while minimizing the downside risk, whenever possible.
Moreover, as detailed below, this publication accepts compensation from
certain of the companies which it features. Likewise, this newsletter
is owned by MarketByte, LLC. To the degrees enumerated herein,
this newsletter should not be regarded as an independent publication.
Go
Here to view our compensation on every company we have ever covered,
or visit the following web address: http://www.otcjournal.com/disclaimer.html
for our full profiles and http://www.otcjournal.com/trading-alerts/disclaimer.html
for Trading Alerts. MarketByte LLC has been paid a fee of $50,000 by Auriga
Labs for coverage of the company. In addition, Trilogy Capital Partners
has pledged 90,000 warrants convertible at $1.90, and 22,500 warrants convertible
at $2.50 to MarketByte LLC for coverage of Auriga.
All statements and expressions are
the sole opinions of the editors and are subject to change without notice.
A profile, description, or other mention of a company in the newsletter
is neither an offer nor solicitation to buy or sell any securities
mentioned. While we believe all sources of information to be factual and
reliable, in no way do we represent or guarantee the accuracy thereof,
nor the statements made herein.
From time to time MarketByte LLC
sells shares in the open market it receives as compensation for coverage
of client companies. Since the shares are received as compensation for
services as previously disclosed, and not for investment purposes, the
editors do not view the sale of the shares as contradictory to any advice
delivered in the content. This should be viewed as a conflict of interest
by shareholders or prospective shareholders of the client companies.
The editor, members of the editor's
family, and/or entities with which they are affiliated aside from MarketBtye
LLC itself, are forbidden by company policy to own, buy, sell or otherwise
trade stock for their own benefit in the companies who appear in the publication
unless specifically disclosed in the newsletter. Some of the companies
featured in the OTC Journal pay a cash ESP fee to an affiliated technology
company ranging from $2,000 to $5,000 per month for internet related technology
services.
The Trustee of the MarketByte LLC
Defined Benefit and Trust (“the MarketByte Pension Plan”) has invested
approximately $140,0000 in Dutchess Private Equities II LP (“the Dutchess
Limited Partnership”), a limited partnership in which the MarketByte Pension
Plan is a limited partner. The Trustee of the MarketByte LLC Defined Benefit
and Trust (“the MarketByte Pension Plan”) has invested approximately $190,0000
in the Longview Fund (“the Longview Limited Partnership”), both limited
partnerships in which the MarketByte Pension Plan is a limited partner.
No one associated with the MarketByte Pension Plan has any knowledge, information,
or control as to any past, present, or future investment activities of
the Dutchess Limited Partnership or the Longview Fund. The Dutchess
Limited Partnership is one of two hedge funds managed by Dutchess Advisors.
Dutchess Advisors and Longview periodically refers companies to MarketByte
LLC for possible coverage by one of the MarketByte LLC publications, which
publications include The OTCJournal.com Newsletter. Dutchess Advisors
or Longview may or may not own shares in the companies that it so refers
to MarketByte. MarketByte has no information (outside of information readily
accessible to the general public such as SEC filings) as to whether Dutchess
Advisors or Longview owns any shares in the companies that it refers to
MarketByte LLC. The above relationships should be viewed as a potential
and/or actual conflict of interest by shareholders and prospective shareholders
of MarketByte LLC client companies.
The profiles, critiques, and other
editorial content of the OTCjournal.com may contain statements that appear
foward relating to the expected capabilities of the companies mentioned
herein.
THE READER SHOULD VERIFY ALL CLAIMS
AND DO THEIR OWN DUE DILIGENCE BEFORE INVESTING IN ANY SECURITIES MENTIONED.
INVESTING IN SECURITIES IS SPECULATIVE AND CARRIES A HIGH DEGREE
OF RISK. THE INFORMATION FOUND IN THIS PROFILE IS PROTECTED BY THE COPYRIGHT
LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES AND MAY NOT BE COPIED, OR REPRODUCED IN ANY WAY
WITHOUT THE EXPRESSED, WRITTEN CONSENT OF THE EDITORS OF OTCjournal.com.
We encourage our readers to invest
carefully and read the investor information available at the web sites
of the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") at http://www.sec.govand/or
the National Association of Securities Dealers ("NASD") at http://www.nasd.com.
We also strongly recommend that you read the SEC advisory to investors
concerning Internet Stock Fraud, which can be found at http://www.sec.gov/consumer/cyberfr.htm.
Disclaimer ID:$subst('Recip.userid') Readers can review all public filings
by companies at the SEC's EDGAR page. The NASD has published information
on how to invest carefully at its web site. MarketByte LLC's mailing
address is 4653 Carmel Mtn Rd Suite 308 #402, San Diego, CA 92130.
You
can unsubscribe from this list at any time by Clicking
Here. If you are having difficulty removing yourself or wish to change
your address please go to http://www.otcjournal.com/opt.html?. |
|
|
|
Click Here to View the OTC Journal Disclosure
|
|
To subscribe to our newsletter, please enter your email address below.
Quotes are delayed 20 minutes.

|