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To
OTC Journal Members:
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Market
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This past week saw a major rotation
of capital out of defensive cyclicals and back into the high-flying, high
growth, high tech NASDAQ stocks. The month of June was all about
the economy as far as the market was concerned. It was characterized by
sideways, choppy trading. This was the consolidation phase in the market
cycle.
Early July's news was all about companies
with earnings warnings which kept the market in check. However, during
this past week, companies that did not warn about earnings disappointments
began releasing financial results. Most of them were coming in considerably
higher than analysts' expectations led by Internet Bellwether Yahoo!
(NASDAQ: YHOO). The stock came off a low of $105 during the week to
end at $128.
It seems that investors and traders
are now rotating back into high growth on the NASDAQ, and the index
rebounded sharply this week. The best technicians we know believe that
the NASDAQ will continue higher to about 4400 which only
gives us upside potential of 150 points above today's 4246 close.
Now we need to see some follow through
in the small and
microcap arena. Most surges in volume
and price we have followed have been met with selling pressure at this
end of the market. Small and Microcap stocks are having a hard time getting
any momentum. This condition is typical during the recovery phase after
a bear market. As stocks begin to rebound some investors that wish they
would have sold before the crash liquidate their shares as the stocks begin
to climb. Small stocks tend to hit resistance prices, and it may take several
attempts with volume to break through the resistance.
Once earnings season passes the market
will turn its focus back to economic numbers. Hopefully, after a pullback
from the 4400 level, a longer term rally can be sustained which should
take the market back to new highs. Time will tell. We are very optimistic
that a full blown bull market will be back in place by the fourth quarter,
if not sooner.
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StockTalkLive.com-
Our New Partner |
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In last weekend's edition we announced
the beta launch of the new StockTalkLive Real Time Quote service.
Please
do not send us anymore questions about getting it working!! The beta
launch was overwhelmed with bugs, and it will take several more weeks to
get it working smoothly.
Once it is fully functional
you will be able to use this free application to set up your own real time
dynamic stock monitoring screen. You will be able to set up a real
time dynamic stock monitor which will show you update prices as they change.
It also has free dynamic Level II quotes, and many other features that
you can design to fit your own needs. This is the type of software you
see advertised everywhere, but you cannot get this service for free
anywhere
else we know of. Certain brokerage firms offer it to their clients, but
no one offers it for free with no strings attached.
We had it working on one of our computers
during the week. However, we had to go through two login pages to get in.
All of these bugs will eventually be eliminated, and it will be a simple
process to use the application. It might be complicated to set up the page
the way you want to see it, and it will take you some time to familiarize
yourself with the software. The program is driven by a menu bar with pops
up on the top of your screen. You build your quote system off this menu
bar, which has numerous features for you to choose from.
You can try to log in over the coming
weeks to see if it is functioning. We will let everybody know how the development
is progressing as time goes by. In the meantime, don't send us anymore
questions about error messages or glitches.
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PawnBroker.com
(OTC BB: PBRR)- A Correction from our Tuesday Morning Release |
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On Tuesday morning we reported on
the news release issued by PawnBroker.com prior to actually reading
the final version. The news release concerned the signing of an Agreement
for a $24 million equity line of credit. There was also a server problem
which explains why many of you got the edition late.
We reported that the company's investment
banking relationship with Ladenberg Thalman would be mentioned in the press
release. It was not mentioned. However, if you review the company's year
end SEC 10-K filing you will find disclosure on their Investment Banking
relationship with Ladenberg Thalman. We believe that this is more important
than the money, as it demonstrates the first real evidence of major Wall
Street interest in this company.
We were disappointed to see the stock
climb back to about $3.50, only to drift back down under $3 on lighter
volume before the end of the week. We were hoping to see the stock back
to the $4 level plus. It may take two or three more high volume charges
to get it back to the $4 plus level.
In order for the company to use the
equity line of credit it must complete a registration statement with the
SEC, which should take about 90 days. The market may not be willing to
accept this company until they have the proper financing in place to allow
them to execute their business plan.
Stayed tuned for more news on this
stock. The company is working on several alliances and relationship which
may put it back in the limelight long before the big Holiday Season push.
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A Glimpse Into
the Future- What We See Coming This Summer For Our Favorites |
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he values of the microcap stocks
we follow tend to be affected greatly by news of fundamental progress by
the companies. The Summer season is slower in the way of news and contracts,
followed by a surge in the Fall before the Holiday Season down time.
The following is a list of our current
favorite companies followed by a brief comment on our expectations for
the next two months. Remember, this information only represents our opinion
based on conversations with management. There are no guarantees that we
will be right. There are also no guarantees that if we are right that this
progress will be reflected in the price of their shares.
The list is compiled in the order
that we see the most impact in the next two months. If you own positions
in any of these companies you might choose to add to them when the stocks
are trading quietly on pull backs. To read our disclaimer page on every
company we have ever followed, Click
Here, or go to this web address: http://www.otcjournal.com/disclaimer.html
Please take the time to read
our new Home Page. We have
rewritten it to better describe our mission. Also- our July MVP award will
be a free subscription to the Wall Street Journal, which we will
bring you during the week of July 24th.
Here is our current favorites list
in our favorite order:
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Blue Zone (NASDAQ: BLZN)- New
contract signings for their software should propel this stock to higher
levels. There are more people watching this company that any we follow.
Making the jump from the Bulletin Board to the NASDAQ National Market was
an impressive feat for a company still operating at a loss. We are hoping
for and anticipating blockbuster news over the next month or two.
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iQrom (OTC BB: IQCO)- This company
has been very quiet since the release of the original profile, but we expect
to see a change in the short term. We anticipate that this company will
sign numerous high profile contracts in the coming months. Once the floodgates
open, the momentum should continue. We have a whole program planned to
help you understand why their technology is so unique, but the proof will
be in the contracts they obtain.
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Envoy Communications (NASDAQ: ECGI)-
The
company is now annualizing at about $.59 per share EBITDA, and the stock
is trading at $5.50. More strategic acquisitions are in the pipeline, and
the company is actively seeking Wall Street support. The current price
is a joke, and it is just a matter of time before someone catches on to
this one.
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PhotoChannel Networks (OTC BB: PHCHF)-
This stock doesn't have much of a following in the US, but the Canadian
microcap investors have been all over this stock. The stock trades 2 to
5 times as much volume on the Montreal Exchange as it does in the US. Announcements
of marketing alliances prior to rolling out their service should get this
one going.
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Pawnbroker.com (OTC BB: PBRR)- We
love their business model. They need $5 million for infrastructure and
general corporate purposes. One major institution is stepping up to the
plate, and others may follow. Their B to B software is a sleeper in their
business model. This stock should perform well in the 4th quarter in conjunction
with the Holiday Season especially if they do a major, nationwide multi-media
campaign.
Remember, this list is intended for
guidance only. We don't know which one of these stocks will perform best
in the short term. We don't know which company could have a blockbuster
news release next week. However, we do have direct communication with management
at each company, and this puts us in a position to help you. There is no
insider information used to compile this list. Just instinct guided by
experience in the micro cap world.
We are working on a new section for
the site which will be entitled "Trading Strategies For Micro Cap Stocks".
When it is live we will let everyone know. In the meantime please read
our section on Trading The Gaps found at the OTC
BB Info and Stats button on our home page. In our new section we
will discuss the importance of being willing to invest in micro cap companies
when the stocks are trading quietly and nobody wants them. Hopefully, as
advised in last weekend's newsletter most of our members read our section
on Trading the Gaps and nobody bought Blue Zone this past
Monday when it opened above $9. This was more of a sell than a buy. The
question is: Now that the stock has traded back to the low $7 range
on light volume how many are accumulating now? These are the types of strategies
that pay off for micro cap investors.
Have a nice weekend and we will
be back next week with our mid week edition and any breaking news.
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